Some notable games today that should affect brackets:
-Texas is off the 1 line. Even if they the win Big 12, I'm not sure they can grab a spot.
-Kansas State losing likely pushes them to a 5 seed. I think Gonzaga is safely a 4 at this point if they win out.
-Iowa State should be safely in now. All hail Audi and Addy.
Right now I see these squads as potential 1 seeds (aside from SC):
Ohio State-they have a massive game at Iowa on Sunday. If they can win I think they lock in a #1 even if they bomb in the Big Ten Tournament. If they lose to Iowa, I think whoever wins the Big Ten (assuming Indiana or someone else doesn't play spoiler), then the Big Ten tournament champs get a #1 seed.
Iowa-same predicament as Ohio State. If they win out, they're a 1. If they don't, they're a 2 (even if they lose both IMO).
Virginia Tech-they have a big game at Notre Dame tomorrow, but I think they're safely on the 1 for the time being even if they drop tomorrow or lose in the ACC tournament (can't lose both).
Stanford-if they win out, they're a 1. I'm curious to see how much the committee penalizes Stanford for their loss to Arizona when Brink was out.
UCLA-similar predicament to Stanford. If they win out, they're a 1. They also have forgivable losses when Betts was out and have done well against a brutal schedule.
I think those 6 squads will all be top 2 seeds, and the following programs are contenders for the last 2 number 2 seeds:
UCONN-they could land a spot here with other teams faltering. As long as they win the Big East Tournament, they're safely a top 3 seed.
Texas-I think they need to win the Big 12 tournament to stay a 2. Wins over KState/Baylor aren't looking as strong now, and they're only marquee win this year was over UCONN when they had Harmon.
USC-they're right on the cusp. I think they need to get to the semis of the Pac-12 tournament and put up a fight vs. UCLA in the semis (assuming they finish tied for 2nd in conference). If they beat UCLA, they're a 2 and UCLA drops to a 2.
Oregon State-they also have a chance to play spoiler if they beat Stanford tomorrow and have a good showing in the Pac 12 tournament. If Beers is back, it's another scenario for the committee to determine how much they'll penalize OSU for their 2 losses with Beers out recently.
LSU-if they beat South Carolina in South Carolina for the SEC Championship, they could be a 2. If they don't, no shot at a 2.