Week 14 - Other Games | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Week 14 - Other Games

BIIIG said:
Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay
Expand ...

The book should give you your money back if you manage to go 0-4 on a parlay.

Thank goodness you didn’t bet BIIIG on this. ;)
 
BIIIG said:
Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay
Expand ...
0/4 buddy

If you're going to lose a parlay, lose hard
 
BIIIG said:
Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay
Expand ...
Buddy worked for company that had a weekly FB pool. In addition to getting the post picks right, u needed to beat random chance. They would flip a coin on every game, head home tails away and the coin had a ticket in the pool. He said it was amazing how many times the coin won and pushed the pot to the following week
 
NJHusky said:
Buddy worked for company that had a weekly FB pool. In addition to getting the post picks right, u needed to beat random chance. They would flip a coin on every game, head home tails away and the coin had a ticket in the pool. He said it was amazing how many times the coin won and pushed the pot to the following week
Expand ...

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.
 
Hi-Low said:
Or we made them look that way;)
Expand ...

They aren't that good, they did play well today though.

bballnet.com

Florida - NET Rankings and Quad Wins

2026 Florida Quad wins for NCAA College Basketball. NET rankings and Quadrants are used to help select teams for the NCAA Tournament during March Madness.
bballnet.com bballnet.com

No horrible, or even bad losses but only 3-9 in Q1 and Q2 games including today.

They do have 3 more Q1 and 3 more Q2 games on schedule. Those 6 games will make or break them, unfortunately for them five of the six are away games. UKx2, Bama, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, Georgia. Last two are their best shot at wins, but they need more than that to be even decent this year. They also need to sweep their remaining Q3 games at home (3).

BTW UConn only has two more games that aren't Q1 or Q2 games (Georgetown and DePaul), should be an entertaining end to the year.
 
.-.
JustbrewitMan said:
It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.
Expand ...
Ouch. I wonder sometimes if i should just make my best picks and then bet the opposite
 
JustbrewitMan said:
It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.
Expand ...
The only way to beat the books is to play almost exclusively the promos that are +EV.
 
'That's already the most different Top-2 teams to lose in a season in AP Poll history' 2/1/23.
does this make it official? dang, missed it by one day, cuz, u know, long ago and far away, it was repeatedly pointed out here that the field is 'el stinko.' apparently, i blew it when i said back then sumthin like 'el stinko, and the 'experts' will figger this out sumtime in January.'
i learned at an early age that 'lots of folks call themselves experts. few really are. very few.' (except cpa's. they usually are.)
the story, thus far...
field stinks.
jmoney is a stone cold winner. his squad has the longest winning streak in hoops, currently is top 20, and sporting a record with 1 loss. (great game tonite, they're at UAB) he's the starting point whose only job is make it all work. i don't think there's a stat for that.
donno is a stud stallion. hey danny! do you know that he can shoot the 3 too? i doubt it. mebbe in another ten years he'll figger that out. i'll give him a small pass on that, since calhoun also had no clue on Cliffy's subsequently proven 3 ball prowess. one thousand, two hundred and fifty three. number 71 on the nba list for it's entire history.

im expecting a parade from youse, or at least, a 'thank-you' card.
and that other thing? nervous danny? i hear our recent mess is now called a 'conundrum,' and has us pointing to playing on bet wednesday. it's not a conundrum, it's actually conniptions.
con·nip·tion
[kəˈnipSH(ə)n]

NOUN
NORTH AMERICAN
INFORMAL
  1. a fit of rage or hysterics:


 
JustbrewitMan said:
It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.
Expand ...
You gotta bet the teams that are playing crappy before it's recognized that they're playing crappy and vice versa. Once they're at 67%, secrets out.
 
auror said:
You gotta bet the teams that are playing crappy before it's recognized that they're playing crappy and vice versa. Once they're at 67%, secrets out.
Expand ...
That's why I also looked at their ATS trends in the last 6-8 games too. Faded any where it was clearly obvious the "books had figured them out"
 
i am particularly enjoying our resident, and legit expert, sensi zen master
yo adrien being 'stuck' (lol) with having FAU as current king of the mid-majors. if that poster wants to, one day he will be paid for his insight.
garuntee.
celestial (cosmic?) justice, or reward, depending on how one thinks aboot it. listen to that guy, he knows stuff. rare.
 
.-.
JustbrewitMan said:
It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.
Expand ...
College basketball just isn't a sport that lends itself to any predictability.
 
JustbrewitMan said:
It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.
Expand ...
I refuse to bet on college kids. Especially basketball. You truly never know what’s going to happen.
 
Rocktheworld said:
I refuse to bet on college kids. Especially basketball. You truly never know what’s going to happen.
Expand ...
College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.

I'm looking forward to heading to the now legal sportsbook two exits down for the Superbowl and maybe NBA or NHL championship.
 
HuskyHawk said:
College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.
Expand ...

This of course too lol
 
Windsorlocks said:
Expand ...

Ok, so this might be the most compelling stat/argument that it is absolutely an open horse race for the elite eight round. So much turnover in the top 10/top 20. Teams (UConn) need to shore up themselves come March, get good March Madness matchups, execute to their strengths, and let the chips lie where they do.
 
HuskyHawk said:
College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.

I'm looking forward to heading to the now legal sportsbook two exits down for the Superbowl and maybe NBA or NHL championship.
Expand ...
Except early in the season. You can find a lot of gifts the first few weeks
 
.-.
Just for those who care about UConn's ranking, currently #24.

So this week five of 17- 22 lost so far.

#17 PC to X
#19 FAU to UAB
#20 Clemson to BC
#21 IU to Maryland
#22 SDSU to Nevada

Of note for UConn's ranking:
#23 Miami is at #20 Clemson this weekend.
#18 Saint Mary's plays #12 Gonzaga.
#25 Auburn plays #2 Tennessee
 
HuskyHawk said:
College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.

I'm looking forward to heading to the now legal sportsbook two exits down for the Superbowl and maybe NBA or NHL championship.
Expand ...

NBA regular season is arguably worse than CBB.
 
You know what's great about the BE??? Every game tomorrow is a good one AND on TV.

UConn/GTown
Butler/Marquette
SJU/X (well, sort of)
Nova/Creighton

In that other conference, I never looked forward to checking out conference games that didn't include UConn.
 
.-.
Fridays tend to be pretty bad days for basketball, but a solid slate today featuring a lot of locals:

5:00:

Yale at Harvard - ESPNU. Yale might have the most talent in the Ivy, but at 4-3 in conference play, they need this win to help stay in the running for the 4-team Ivy tournament. All teams except for Columbia have a 3-4 or better conference record.

7:00:

VCU @ Saint Louis - ESPN2. The top two teams in the A-10 standings. The winner will become the only two-loss team in A-10 play.

Cornell @ Princeton - ESPN+: The top two teams currently in the Ivy.

Fairfield @ Quinnipiac - ESPNU. National TV exposure for two locals. Both teams in the middle of the MAAC pack w/ Quinnipiac a low-key conference contender

9:00:

Boise State @ San Diego State - FS1. Two top-30 KenPom teams and both are atop the MW standings w/ an 8-2 conference record. The top-two defenses in the conference while the addition of Trammell/Parrish/LeDee has helped SDSU become more balanced on their offense.
 
JustbrewitMan said:
NBA regular season is arguably worse than CBB.
Expand ...


NBA regular season is unbettable.

I'm no Maven and I bet small for recreation only, I only bet college hoops, and I win small, but I came up ahead at the end of the season last year and Im ahead this year . Although Im ahead a lot less than I was at this point of season last year

The comment you replied to about spreads in college being affected by Fouling and walk ons is why I don't bet so many spreads. If I see one I like Ill take it, but I am much more prone to betting moneylines. If I see a team that I like to win straight up and even if they are a fav and the ML is at or under -200 I hit it a lot. Otherwise I will bundle a bunch of big favs into Parlays with a combo of ML and a spread or two I may like, I usually play 4-6 legs on that . Parlays are generally stupid is what the gambling degenerates tell me. everyone fancies themselves as a pro. I don't fancy myself as that and I don't care. There are many days I have no bets and other days I may have over a dozen teams in different combinations. I read some tout sites, but Ive learned that my gut is better. The touts can be helpful sometimes for a low D1 game I wouldnt normally take, just to add to a parlay, but thats burned me too.
 
JustbrewitMan said:
NBA regular season is arguably worse than CBB.
Expand ...

You never know who is going to actually play on a given night.

The NBA would be better off cutting back the number of regular season games if it is going to let 2/3's of its teams play in the playoffs. Play 70 games, space them out better, and then they wouldn't have to rest the stars so much. Or make the playoffs 16 teams and have the regular season mean something.
 
alexd said:
You know what's great about the BE??? Every game tomorrow is a good one AND on TV.

UConn/GTown
Butler/Marquette
SJU/X (well, sort of)
Nova/Creighton

In that other conference, I never looked forward to checking out conference games that didn't include UConn.
Expand ...
Two games that will be good, UCONN bc it’s UCONN and Nova vs Creighton
 
AntG168 said:
We’re all rooting for Nova id assume? Makes a 4 seed more possible. We need to beat Creighton away to own that tie breaker
Expand ...
Yep - I look at the upcoming games and then look at the BE standings to decide who my fave is that day. LOL
 
.-.
You must log in or register to reply here.

Forum statistics

Threads
168,217
Messages
4,557,584
Members
10,442
Latest member
StatsMan


Top Bottom