Week 14 - Other Games

[Hi-Low]

Florida must have improved a lot because they looked like a mid-major team against UConn.

Or we made them look that way

 

[Hans Sprungfeld]

OK St nice road win at Oklahoma... ooc opponents stepping up tonight.

Helpful, after ISU and Alabama's losses.

 

[Tyler2Rings]

St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies

 

[Orc]

Florida about to take down Tennessee

Another nice tertiary bump in our KenPom/NET/whatever else lol

The rematch with Florida now would be so interesting to watch

 

[navery12]

Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay

 

[JustbrewitMan]

Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay

The book should give you your money back if you manage to go 0-4 on a parlay.

Thank goodness you didn’t bet BIIIG on this.

 

[Windsorlocks]

 

[Tenspro2002]

Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay

0/4 buddy

If you're going to lose a parlay, lose hard

 

[NJHusky]

Providence @ Xavier = Xavier is slipping more than they want to admit, losing 2 of their last 4 and now no Freemantle. Cooley's had this one on his calendar for a while, and with first place for the Big East on the line they'll be ready. Don't take the points you won't need them.
PICK: Providence ML +148

Creighton @ Georgetown = Creighton has arrived and Georgetown got their big win last week.
PICK: Creighton -13.5

Seton Hall @ St. Johns = One home team has to win I suppose. St. John's slops it up like a steak at trifonies and comes away with the win
PICK: St. John's ML -106

Villanova @ Marquette = Marquette has gotten ROWDY at home this year, but with an apparent easy week on the schedule the Golden Eagles come out sluggish. Nova gets the welcome back to Justin Moore they wanted this past weekend.
PICK: Villanova ML +237

$10/$307 parlay

Buddy worked for company that had a weekly FB pool. In addition to getting the post picks right, u needed to beat random chance. They would flip a coin on every game, head home tails away and the coin had a ticket in the pool. He said it was amazing how many times the coin won and pushed the pot to the following week

 

[JustbrewitMan]

Buddy worked for company that had a weekly FB pool. In addition to getting the post picks right, u needed to beat random chance. They would flip a coin on every game, head home tails away and the coin had a ticket in the pool. He said it was amazing how many times the coin won and pushed the pot to the following week

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.

 

[caw]

Or we made them look that way

They aren't that good, they did play well today though.

Florida - NET Rankings and Quad Wins

2024 Florida Quad wins for NCAA College Basketball. NET rankings and Quadrants are used to help select teams for the NCAA Tournament during March Madness.

bballnet.com

No horrible, or even bad losses but only 3-9 in Q1 and Q2 games including today.

They do have 3 more Q1 and 3 more Q2 games on schedule. Those 6 games will make or break them, unfortunately for them five of the six are away games. UKx2, Bama, Arkansas, Vanderbilt, Georgia. Last two are their best shot at wins, but they need more than that to be even decent this year. They also need to sweep their remaining Q3 games at home (3).

BTW UConn only has two more games that aren't Q1 or Q2 games (Georgetown and DePaul), should be an entertaining end to the year.

 

[NJHusky]

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.

Ouch. I wonder sometimes if i should just make my best picks and then bet the opposite

 

[Tenspro2002]

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.

The only way to beat the books is to play almost exclusively the promos that are +EV.

 

[ClifSpliffy]

'That's already the most different Top-2 teams to lose in a season in AP Poll history' 2/1/23.
does this make it official? dang, missed it by one day, cuz, u know, long ago and far away, it was repeatedly pointed out here that the field is 'el stinko.' apparently, i blew it when i said back then sumthin like 'el stinko, and the 'experts' will figger this out sumtime in January.'
i learned at an early age that 'lots of folks call themselves experts. few really are. very few.' (except cpa's. they usually are.)
the story, thus far...
field stinks.
jmoney is a stone cold winner. his squad has the longest winning streak in hoops, currently is top 20, and sporting a record with 1 loss. (great game tonite, they're at UAB) he's the starting point whose only job is make it all work. i don't think there's a stat for that.
donno is a stud stallion. hey danny! do you know that he can shoot the 3 too? i doubt it. mebbe in another ten years he'll figger that out. i'll give him a small pass on that, since calhoun also had no clue on Cliffy's subsequently proven 3 ball prowess. one thousand, two hundred and fifty three. number 71 on the nba list for it's entire history.

im expecting a parade from youse, or at least, a 'thank-you' card.
and that other thing? nervous danny? i hear our recent mess is now called a 'conundrum,' and has us pointing to playing on bet wednesday. it's not a conundrum, it's actually conniptions.
con·nip·tion
[kəˈnipSH(ə)n]

NOUN
NORTH AMERICAN
INFORMAL

1. a fit of rage or hysterics:
   
   
   

 

[auror]

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.

You gotta bet the teams that are playing crappy before it's recognized that they're playing crappy and vice versa. Once they're at 67%, secrets out.

 

[JustbrewitMan]

You gotta bet the teams that are playing crappy before it's recognized that they're playing crappy and vice versa. Once they're at 67%, secrets out.

That's why I also looked at their ATS trends in the last 6-8 games too. Faded any where it was clearly obvious the "books had figured them out"

 

[ClifSpliffy]

i am particularly enjoying our resident, and legit expert, sensi zen master
yo adrien being 'stuck' (lol) with having FAU as current king of the mid-majors. if that poster wants to, one day he will be paid for his insight.
garuntee.
celestial (cosmic?) justice, or reward, depending on how one thinks aboot it. listen to that guy, he knows stuff. rare.

 

[HuskyHawk]

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.

College basketball just isn't a sport that lends itself to any predictability.

 

[Rocktheworld]

It's really a fool's errand to think you can beat the books consistently.

I do some low-stakes betting for fun. But I also like to do some research and target games based on ATS performance.

The last 3 Saturdays, I've targeted games for teams who have 67%+ ATS performance or <30% ATS performance as possible games to bet for/against a given team.

I look at those games, and only consider betting if their recent performance, home/away performance, and opponent ATS performance continue to make it a good possible game.

I identified 32 games that met those criteria. Bet them all. I went 7-25.

I refuse to bet on college kids. Especially basketball. You truly never know what’s going to happen.

 

[HuskyHawk]

I refuse to bet on college kids. Especially basketball. You truly never know what’s going to happen.

College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.

I'm looking forward to heading to the now legal sportsbook two exits down for the Superbowl and maybe NBA or NHL championship.

 

[Rocktheworld]

College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.

This of course too lol

 

[CTFAN4LIFE]

Ok, so this might be the most compelling stat/argument that it is absolutely an open horse race for the elite eight round. So much turnover in the top 10/top 20. Teams (UConn) need to shore up themselves come March, get good March Madness matchups, execute to their strengths, and let the chips lie where they do.

 

[imno1]

College Basketball is a terrible gambling sport because of the late fouling strategy and the tendency to play walk ons if you have a big lead. Both distort the actual point spread.

I'm looking forward to heading to the now legal sportsbook two exits down for the Superbowl and maybe NBA or NHL championship.

Except early in the season. You can find a lot of gifts the first few weeks

 

[Letsgohuskies11]

FAU being tested right now. Were down 13 at half, now 5

 

[navery12]

FAU being tested right now. Were down 13 at half, now 5

And just lost one of their starters to a non-contact injury. Albeit the most replaceable starter