Me too. When I said I would be happy with 18 wins preseason, I meant it. The 3-4 year rebuild is has always been my imagined road map.
The diff between us and others is we are starting from a much, much lower place than most anyone else.
I mean even rose colored glasses, my take was:
Guard depth is pretty good. We should get by so long as Adams is Adams. Gilbert is a first year player for all intents and purposes who is also coming off an injury so anyone thinking of him being anything than a question mark seemed like a massive leap to me. I was optimistic about Smith and thought BAdams was going to be used more than he has.
Outside of that - literally everyone on the roster was a question mark. Cobb was a JUCO transfer who was just coming off a nice summer of tweeting and being intermitedly thrown off the team last year. Carlton was the least freshman-y guy of the group so everyone was excited about him for whatever reason. Polley and Vital come with strokes of being great, but they never have and still can't string good performances together game after game. Diarra is injured.
And then Wilson was a transfer. And you know me and my take on transfers. Transfers are transfers for a reason. Sometimes that reason is fine and makes sense. But the overwhelming majority of them have something up where they didn't click with coaches, had attitude problems, academic problems, work ethic issues, whined about their playing time.... my thing is it's ALWAYS something and something for a reason. And while we've seen mostly good stuff from him, we did see some transferitis in him, too.
Like if EVERYTHING clicked, sure - you're looking at a bubble team. And I mean EVERYTHING.
But I don't know how on earth, unless you're just hammered on the homer sauce, that you can look at a roster like that and say YEP TOURNAMENT CONTENDER.
20 wins is a big accomplishment for this group. Ollie destroyed this place. And it's going to take 2-3 years worth of solid recruiting to get back on a path of success.