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I agree. But with 6 teams in the tourney, the A-10 could argue that they are the superior BB conference. But at the end of the day money talks. . .
Creighton, Marquette, (Butler again) could be question marks next year. So, think they have to go with a program that has infrastructure in place and a tradition of competing. St. Louis, Dayton and VCU comes to mind. Maybe Wichita. St. Louis, Wichita and Dayton help fill out the Western wing of the conference. I doubt Villanova provides wiggle room for a St. Joe's nod.
I do think it's risky for the NBE to hang their hat on the current make up of the conference. They'll add two teams perhaps as early as this summer.
They will not add teams unless Fox offers up enough extra cash so the per team take from the TV contract does not go down. I don't think adding any of those teams gets Fox to cough up enough extra dough.