Updated Metrics (2/26/23) | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Updated Metrics (2/26/23)

JohnFSilver said:
Lol. Iowa State is making the ncaa tournament. I guess if they lose out. But come on. They are in today .
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That’s the discussion. If they lose out, I think they will be out.
 
Beat Creighton in the fist BE tournament game and we get a 3 seed. That’s what it comes down to. No matter what happens with Nova.
It will be a tough game
 
Tyler2Rings said:
So in your bracketology update above you are assuming they lose out? Seems like a stretch
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No. I’m not assuming that. I think they win tonight. All I said is IF they lose out, I think they will be out.
 
Hurleyman216 said:
You really aren't very good at this...not sure how or why you decided to become the Boneyard expert on March Madness seeding, but you should probably pick a different topic and stick with that. There is ZERO chance that Iowa State misses the tournament just like there was ZERO chance that Houston who has likely solidified itself as the overall #1 seed ever should have been in the "more work to do" category in the month of February. I'm not sure now if you just post this garbage to get people riled up, but you really need to try something different because it's a bad look.
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CBS agreed with me on Houston back in February so if my bubble watch was practically copied by a major sports website, I’m not that bad. Oh, and my update last week had every team but one they had (and they published a day later).
 
Hurleyman216 said:
You really aren't very good at this...not sure how or why you decided to become the Boneyard expert on March Madness seeding, but you should probably pick a different topic and stick with that. There is ZERO chance that Iowa State misses the tournament just like there was ZERO chance that Houston who has likely solidified itself as the overall #1 seed ever should have been in the "more work to do" category in the month of February. I'm not sure now if you just post this garbage to get people riled up, but you really need to try something different because it's a bad look.
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Houston has not solidified anything either. If they lose just two more games the rest of the way, they may drop to the 3 line due to a weak SOS. There is literally precedent for my above statement based on Houston last year.
 
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nelsonmuntz said:
Based on the first round of seedings, the Committee is clearly including momentum in how they seed teams, even though they are not supposed to. With UConn's momentum, all the quality wins, and everyone else losing, I think UConn should be comfortably on the 3 line. It is hard to move up from there.
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5:46 PM and @Storrs South gives you a like. I can give a pass for his coming to The Boneyard on his wedding weekend but supporting you on this occasion (or any for that matter :cool:) is a step too far!
 
ucp990411 said:
Who cares? We are going to win 14 straight
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I agree with you in not caring.
And I'd love a 14-0 season finish, but make no predictions.

I think we'll all benefit most from focusing on winning each next game.

If we fans are incapable of or disinterested in doing so, then I hope that the coaching staff and the players don't spend their time and attention on these distracting & divisive opinion battles, because they weaken rather than strengthen the ability to win each game.
 
shizzle787 said:
Houston has not solidified anything either. If they lose just two more games the rest of the way, they may drop to the 3 line due to a weak SOS. There is literally precedent for my above statement based on Houston last year.
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Lol…keep going, if nothing else this is entertaining.
 
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Iowa State lost again. Now 17-12.
 
Our non-conf has been disintegrating down the stretch. Iowa St (4 straight), Florida (6 of 7), and Ok St (5 straight) all with major losing streaks this month. Florida and Ok St. have major starters out with injury (Castleton and Avery Anderson respectively).

Oregon got swept on the Washington road trip to take themselves off the bubble, too.

Alabama still good, if problematic.
 
willie99 said:
The most important variable. George Mason should not have been selected in 2006. In their own conference, Hofstra finished higher, had a better RPI, beat them twice and eliminated them in the conference tournament. But Mason's AD was on the committee and Mason got the at large, not Hofstra
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Given that they made the Final Four, hard to say the committee made a bad choice giving them an at large bid.
 
pj said:
Given that they made the Final Four, hard to say the committee made a bad choice giving them an at large bid.
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I think it is easy to say that.
 
auror said:
Our non-conf has been disintegrating down the stretch. Iowa St (4 straight), Florida (6 of 7), and Ok St (5 straight) all with major losing streaks this month. Florida and Ok St. have major starters out with injury (Castleton and Avery Anderson respectively).

Oregon got swept on the Washington road trip to take themselves off the bubble, too.

Alabama still good, if problematic.
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Yea…our OOC schedule was not good contrary to what a lot of people on here think.
 
pj said:
Given that they made the Final Four, hard to say the committee made a bad choice giving them an at large bid.
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You earn a bid or not before tournament play. Anyone can go on a run once they're in, and many teams do.

Based on metrics and head to head results, their conference member Hofstra deserved an at large bid before them. But Mason had a member on the committee. So Mason got the opportunity and played far over their heads. It happens

Their conferences regular season and post season champ, UNCW, lost in the first round
 
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Mason was a 12 seed, meaning they were one of the last at large bids, not like the committee saw something special in them
 
If we run the table, we're a two seed. That's a big "if", but an absolute "if" none the less

A one is almost certainly out of the question, but remotely possible with a lot of help over the next two weeks. We need to look awesome, and we need a lot of losses, including a few bad losses

I'd be happy with a 3 or 4. 4's get a weak automatic bid conference to get their feet wet, 5's and 6's get stronger at large bids, maybe with a chip on their shoulder
 
Speaking of metrics.. Does anyone know what Nova/Hall metrics look like going into tonight's game?? Curious to see whether one of them may have an outside shot at squeaking into the Tournament with a strong finish to regular season and a strong BET.. I expect our game to be a rock fight at Nova/Senior Night and that could be/would be a huge W for them vs us. FWIW.. Still expect us to win..
 
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auror said:
Our non-conf has been disintegrating down the stretch. Iowa St (4 straight), Florida (6 of 7), and Ok St (5 straight) all with major losing streaks this month. Florida and Ok St. have major starters out with injury (Castleton and Avery Anderson respectively).

Oregon got swept on the Washington road trip to take themselves off the bubble, too.

Alabama still good, if problematic.
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Sadly correct. And one of our top conference wins (vs. Creighton) has fallen out of the rankings too.

Our resume is basically Bama and Marquette wins. Maybe Providence if people look at the rankings rather than the computer numbers.
 
Vuce said:
We will definitely drop in the power ratings a lot because of it for sure right?
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Considering the committee had us outside the top 16 even though 95% of the BY (not including me) thought we were a lock…the NET is a guide, not a hard and fast rule. Our omission proved my point about our questionable OOC SOS and scheduling practices.
 
shizzle787 said:
Considering the committee had us outside the top 16 even though 95% of the BY (not including me) thought we were a lock…the NET is a guide, not a hard and fast rule. Our omission proved my point about our questionable OOC SOS and scheduling practices.
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The poor OOC will show up in the metrics and we will drop right? FL, Iowa St and Ok St will drag us down with the computer. The top 16 on March 12th matters not a pre release so not sweating that
 
Vuce said:
The poor OOC will show up in the metrics and we will drop right? FL, Iowa St and Ok St will drag us down with the computer. The top 16 on March 12th matters not a pre release so not sweating that
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You know he's not going to actually answer your question because it would be admitting they're all sad about something that will have a microscopic if any impact on anything going forward.
 
can someone explain why quadrant wins are determined by RPI ranking instead of NET ranking?
 
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