up til last night's game, duke had been playing significantly better than uconn over the past month. For better or worse, the eye test matters. THey also have 8 quad wins to 5. Their florida, MSU, and KU wins match up about even with illinois, florida and kansas. We have the extra high-level win over BYU OOC, but they also just whacked a similarly rated louisville team by a significant margin. And they have an extra chance against Michigan for an elite win, which I htink is a toss-up at this point.
If both teams run it to the end of the season, Duke has the edge...and I'm not sure there's a particularly good argument any other way. Unless Uconn obliterates these non-tournament teams they should be for the rest of the year, I think they are not sitting at #1 in the east. For better or worse, efficiency metrics are on the team sheet, and uconn is a trailer in that department too.
Concensus is uconn is #4 overall right now:
http://www.bracketmatrix.com/
That said, I don't think both teams will run it to the end of the year, so the point will be moot.