I will play Captain Obvious, Uconn is good enough to win it all but they also were so last year and frankly every year since 2016. You play who is in front of you, when they are in front of you. The FF draw supposedly broke well for them last year and well, look what happened.
Seedings mean absolutely nothing and if players think they do you have what happened last year. If you are not ready to bring your A game every game, regardless of who, where or when, you lose, end of story.
Yes, matchups matter, but there is not a team in the country Uconn can’t beat and more than a couple that can beat them. And if you have championship aspirations you just need to be ready for it all.