UCONN -8.5

[UCTitleTown]

I can't believe Nova got in

Wow, Nova is getting 3.5 against Liberty. I know Liberty is legit, but ouch.

View attachment 85076

For a second, I was about to say, "How the heck did Nova make the NCAA tournament?" Then I Googled it. I haven't gone through the whole bracket yet, so that was a temporary shock.

 

[TheChamps990411]

Need to/Should win

Iona is not beating Uconn. I dont care if they brought back John Wooden to coach. We`re in a good bracket and should make a nice run.

 

[auror]

Not in the last 3rd of the season. Team takes it's foot off the pedal. at SJU, Seton Hall and recently providence. I don't trust them with a number like this.

We still covered against St Johns and Providence.

 

[Ripper32]

We still covered against St Johns and Providence.

I think we were right on the number. Those were blown leads.

 

[navery12]

I think we were right on the number. Those were blown leads.

No we didn't blow the lead against St John's or Providence. Providence was 6.5 and we won by 7, and St John's was 7.5 and we won by 9

 

[tzznandrew]

No we didn't blow the lead against St John's or Providence. Providence was 6.5 and we won by 7, and St John's was 7.5 and we won by 9

We were up big and never let the win percentage get lower than 93% (in the PC game). Would I have preferred the games stayed in the teens-twenties? Yes—I'd have been much happier without two separate 12-0 runs on PC's side. Was I ever worried? No.

Here's the win probability graphs for each game:

 

[uconnfan68]

Think of Iona as about as good as Seton Hall.

So it’s 50-50?

 

[HuskyWarrior611]

We still covered against St Johns and Providence.

Nah we didn’t cover against PC. I would know smh

 

[tzznandrew]

So it’s 50-50?

Ah, yes. A 1-point road loss in which we controlled most of the game but lost (and a game in which our head coach and some other staff members were out with covid) is 100% equal to the home game we were up 16 and never had less than a 92% chance of winning in the last 10 minutes.

 

[auror]

Nah we didn’t cover against PC. I would know smh

This was my source.

UConn Huskies Schedule, Live Scores & Results - NCAAB 2024-2025

Stay Up-To-Date With The Latest UConn Huskies Schedule, Live Scores, And Results For The 2024-2025 NCAAB Season!

www.covers.com

 

[gsmooth]

This was my source.

UConn Huskies Schedule, Live Scores & Results - NCAAB 2024-2025

Stay Up-To-Date With The Latest UConn Huskies Schedule, Live Scores, And Results For The 2024-2025 NCAAB Season!

www.covers.com

HuskyWarrior611 might have had a slightly different line from the one on Covers.com when he placed his bet. As I am sure you know, the lines can move slightly near game time depending on which way the bets are going.

 

[HeGotGame]

Nah we didn’t cover against PC. I would know smh

Depends on the number you got it at. Was at 7 but closed at 6.

 

[87Xfer]

I think we were right on the number. Those were blown leads.

keep digging

 

[Tyler2Rings]

Wow, Nova is getting 3.5 against Liberty. I know Liberty is legit, but ouch.

View attachment 85076

2-7 or 3-6 matchup? Liberty is good

 

[uconnfan68]

Ah, yes. A 1-point road loss in which we controlled most of the game but lost (and a game in which our head coach and some other staff members were out with covid) is 100% equal to the home game we were up 16 and never had less than a 92% chance of winning in the last 10 minutes.

\s

 

[HuskyWarrior611]

Depends on the number you got it at. Was at 7 but closed at 6.

Yeah I think I got in at 7. Vegas got it back in blood after I got in at the right time for Nova.

 

[3rdbass]

If we get past Iona I think we make the sweet 16. Let's see Hurley win more than 1 game in the tourney for he first time.

 

[Ripper32]

No we didn't blow the lead against St John's or Providence. Providence was 6.5 and we won by 7, and St John's was 7.5 and we won by 9

I should have clarified. Blown leads in relation to the spread. They were up 16 on seton hall with 6 minutes. Then a comedy of errors ensued and they didn't cover the 11(?).

They were up 17 on SJU with 13 remaining and barely escaped that one winning by 9 (7.5 pt spread).

Then the debacle that occured at MSG against PC. 26 pt lead widdled down to 5.

They were an ATS machine in OOC when their team rating was low, but lately they aren't exactly killing it when it's pts in excess of 5. Missed FTs and TOs seem to be the norm with big leads.

 

[auror]

They were an ATS machine in OOC when their team rating was low, but lately they aren't exactly killing it when it's pts in excess of 5. Missed FTs and TOs seem to be the norm with big leads.

So basically you don't trust the team to cover a large spread because we only cover 2/3 of the time when we specifically blow a big lead. Got it.

We're 5-1 ATS in our last 6 in games where we were favored by more than 5.

 

[Jay-Bone]

Yeah I think I got in at 7. Vegas got it back in blood after I got in at the right time for Nova.

I can validate I had -7 which was the opening line for some time. Thankfully I hedged PC in game.

There were definitely some "sweaters" toward the end of the season. The easy bets ended when the losing streak began. I stopped betting us heavy.

 

[RJScootin]

Just got to win by 1! I'm not a gambler but if I was I, I would bet against my team so at least there's a consolation prize incase they lose.

 

[Ripper32]

 

[Ripper32]

Interesting unless the comparative conference strength blows up in your face.

 

[CL82]

Iona is not beating Uconn. I dont care if they brought back John Wooden to coach. We`re in a good bracket and should make a nice run.

 

[Letsgohuskies11]

I'm not betting against Uconn and Marquette in a first round game. Both teams could easily be up by way more.