UConn (-42.5) vs. Miss Valley St. | The Boneyard

UConn (-42.5) vs. Miss Valley St.

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Draftkings opens UConn -42.5. Fanduel doesn't even have a spread.

KenPom -41, Torvik -34.

UConn 2-0-0 vs. spread so far.

Sportsbooks hedging in our direction vs. the analytic spreads by 1.5+ points.
 
-34 Torvik seems really low for a team that is bottom 10 in his ranking and dead last in KenPom
 
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just get out healthy - get the pups lots of minutes.
 
My wagering advice is to pass here. Too much pressure on the cover. If there is any cold patch at any point where they’re getting shots but not hitting them? And only 2 games in where they’re not in full sync yet? Nah.
Think this is where I am too. The cover almost seems too obvious, the walk ons could come in with 7 minutes left and easily blow it or something.
 
My wagering advice is to pass here. Too much pressure on the cover. If there is any cold patch at any point where they’re getting shots but not hitting them? And only 2 games in where they’re not in full sync yet? Nah.

Grand Canyon beat Northern Arizona almost as bad as we did so that’s an awful team like this. Hard to cover on 43 which is exactly what that game was.
 
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We're actually kinda due for a good shooting day. And their other 2 opponents covered and we've covered both. Implying there is a bit of value on the cover if the ratings have not adjusted quite enough yet.
 
It's going to be whatever Danny decides. The thinking is probably that UConn scores 100 and MVS scores 50.

Regardless of score. Mississippi Valley State produced football Hall of Famer Jerry Rice who remains one of the very best players ever in any sports.
 
Currently seeing the line at -45 right now. Depending upon how the market moves, UConn could close as the biggest favorite in history.

This is not something that we should be proud of- but coach probably wants a lot of run time for the Freshman. He has said several times- we are going to need at least two of them to play meaningful minutes this year. Hard to get them PT against Kansas ect....
 
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Feels like after a year plus....Vegas is finally catching up to our consistent performance.

This was us last year, felt like stealing candy from a baby, lol...


Screenshot 2023-11-14 at 11.19.06 AM.png
 
This is not something that we should be proud of- but coach probably wants a lot of run time for the Freshman. He has said several times- we are going to need at least two of them to play meaningful minutes this year. Hard to get them PT against Kansas ect....
Me thinks the freshman are very capable of running up the score as well. We've got some real studs and they can shoot.
 
This is not something that we should be proud of- but coach probably wants a lot of run time for the Freshman. He has said several times- we are going to need at least two of them to play meaningful minutes this year. Hard to get them PT against Kansas ect....
We are playing a HBCU to support their program and help fill their coffers. That is something we should be proud of. We don't control the betting line.
 
I’m guessing my U.S. sportsbooks won’t work over here.
 
Yeah the line has exploded upward to 45.5 over a few hours on Fanduel. I'm thinking about trying to middle my 42.5.
 
The line is insane. There are variables with playing time but Hurley never really plays the end of the bench guys more than 3 mins. Think we cover but don’t necessarily recommend betting.
 
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The line is insane. There are variables with playing time but Hurley never really plays the end of the bench guys more than 3 mins. Think we cover but don’t necessarily recommend betting.
Even the line against Stonehill was very much in question with 5 minutes left.
 
Even the line against Stonehill was very much in question with 5 minutes left.
The thing is, Stonehill is a lot better than this team. Stonehill would be favored by about 10 points at home against Miss Valley St.
 
The thing is, Stonehill is a lot better than this team. Stonehill would be favored by about 10 points at home against Miss Valley St.
Oh, 100%. Just meant to say it seems vegas has adjusted properly to us
 
Even the line against Stonehill was very much in question with 5 minutes left.
It was in question later than that lol as someone who had -39 I resigned myself to the fact that it wasn't going to hit when we were up 31 with like 1:18 to play, but then yeah, jayden ross and jaylin stewart happened lol
 
Line currently is up to 45.5, I think we are gonna crush them but if we win 99-57 we dont cover and I think thats gonna be my score prediction
 
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