Last year at almost exactly this time the question was posed, "Who will stay within 20 points of UConn this year?" The responses are instructive of the reason why it is safe to say that no one knows nuttin' in the preseason.
The unstoppably optimistic Tonyc naturally said no one had a chance, which of course was way off the mark.
reno tony was also too optimistic when he said he didn't see it happening, but he was also way too pessimistic in saying UConn would only win its regular seasons games by 33.3 instead of 36.6 (34.3 for all 40 games), the third best mark ever.
easttexastrash said ND, but he was off the mark because of a last minute Banks shot.
And maybe ericsandiego was on the mark when he said "several" but how many games exactly is several? In all, 6 opponents in 7 games held UConn under the 20 point margin, with Stanford doing it twice at 19 both in the regular season and tourney, MD in the regular season and BYU in the tourney also reached the nirvana mark of 19, MD was at 17 during that huge three-game under-20 crisis for UConn early in the season, Texas A&M got it at 15 in the tourney, and Baylor left Husky fans shaking by threatening the single-digit ignominy before going down by 11.
So these seasons generally turn out to be a lot more full of anguishing t0ughness than is expected in the bright days of October.