UConn -2 tonight | Page 3 | The Boneyard
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UConn -2 tonight

Well folks, the biggest game of the year is upon us. It’s time to put up or shut up. If we are the big dogs our bark better be ferocious. We will soon learn if we are contenders or pretenders. The good guys 81, Villanova 75.
 
I have a hard time believing we have a better than 50% chance of winning tonight myself, but a reasonable line of thinking might be:

UConn played Villanova even in the second half of the last game on the road. One could argue it might have been a much closer game if Squirrel and Sanogo hadn't picked up 2 fouls each in the first 4 minutes. If they can avoid the foul trouble and get the homecourt boost, they are likely to pull out a close victory.
Is Squirrel our guard?
 
The metrics/power rankings have UConn favored when factoring in home court

Home court on this power ranking is valued at 2.93


Nova: 17.54 or 16.16 depending what column you use

UConn: 16.59 + 2.93= 19.52 or 14.29 + 2.93 = 17.22

19.52 - 17.54 = UConn favored by 1.98
17.22 - 16.16 = UConn favored by 1.06

Sagarin ratings have UConn favored by about 1.5 points
 

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Wow, Vegas nailed it. I think the O/U was within a point too.

I took Nova moneyline and early in the game when we were winning, then hedged and took us moneyline when we were losing late so I could lock in a profit. Really glad I hedged!
 
Is Squirrel our guard?
Squirrel is the nickname which some friends and I assigned to Whaley back in his freshman season, due to his frenetic movement on the court. The Boneyard nearly universally hates the nickname.
 
Squirrel is the nickname which some friends and I assigned to Whaley back in his freshman season, due to his frenetic movement on the court. The Boneyard nearly universally hates the nickname.
My place has woods on 3 sides so I must have at least 25-30 Whalleys running around my deck.I must get them some tiny basketballs.
 
The metrics/power rankings have UConn favored when factoring in home court

Home court on this power ranking is valued at 2.93


Nova: 17.54 or 16.16 depending what column you use

UConn: 16.59 + 2.93= 19.52 or 14.29 + 2.93 = 17.22

19.52 - 17.54 = UConn favored by 1.98
17.22 - 16.16 = UConn favored by 1.06

Sagarin ratings have UConn favored by about 1.5 points
Handle/post
 
UConn won by 2 on 2-22-22. Player #2 made our last two pointer. Just "two" much for Nova to handle.
 

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