UConn +17 | Page 2 | The Boneyard
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UConn +17

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whaler11 said:
I'm not trying to talk anyone out of it. I just shared some of the math and history on 17 point dogs.

Everything you listed is priced into the +17. So while it might still be wrong - you don't have any angle that isn't priced into the market.
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I know. Just sharing my thinking.
 
Uconn +17 looks good to me....Not sure if we will win, but I think we will give them a good game.
 
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Just throwing this out there for the gamblers that Uconn is 66-1 to win the AAC on Bovada. With the watered down conference those are some pretty solid odds IMO for a cheap bet
 
Stealing- take 17. Makers and general public have no idea what's going. it's not last year's program. It's also at the Rent and I don't see them rolling over.

Frankly, I think we scrap and pull out a win.
 
It's not last years program, but a lot of the same athletes......some with little starting experience ........and maybe 10 freshmen (a.k.a. high school experience) will play?

I just hope BYU has an East Coast moment and UConn can keep it that close.
 
I think Vegas set the line high on purpose. It's only come down 0.5-1.0 points. I think the public money on BYU is purely by reputation and the Sharps and casinos are going to take UConn and the points over the next day or so. No one knows anything about the Diaco-led Huskies, least of all Bronco Mendenhall. On the other hand, Diaco has at least an idea of what BYU is capable of from his years at Notre Dame.
 
Husky25 said:
I think Vegas set the line high on purpose. It's only come down 0.5-1.0 points. I think the public money on BYU is purely by reputation and the Sharps and casinos are going to take UConn and the points over the next day or so. No one knows anything about the Diaco-led Huskies, least of all Bronco Mendenhall. On the other hand, Diaco has at least an idea of what BYU is capable of from his years at Notre Dame.
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Vegas sets the line for one purpose and one purpose only. To make money.
 
APA said:
Vegas sets the line for one purpose and one purpose only. To make money.
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No S__t. Really? The oddsmakers make money by selling their spreads to outlets. Oddsmakers and bookmakers are two distinct things and oddsmakers don't take a single bet.

If you believe that the sharps and bookies never lose money on a game, then you're mistaken. If you believe that the sharps and bookies never take bath, then you're mistaken. If you believe that the sharps and bookies only live off the Vig, you're mistaken. It's good in theory, but they hardly ever get an equal amount of money on both sides and even when they do, they only take 10%. That's a razor thin margin. They make their money by moving their point off the nationally published spread. And they can do this because that number is hours, sometimes days, old. A degenerate gambler won't call a bookie's bluff and the bookie will know when he's dealing with a sophisticated gambler.

The moron bookies aren't bookies very long.

That said, I very rarely bet on sports anymore...
 
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Over under 52? Doesn't that translate to something like 35-17 BYU.

They really going to get 5 touchdowns on us? If we can't stop Hill that would happen. I just think we will be better than that.
 
Husky25 said:
No S__t. Really? The oddsmakers make money by selling their spreads to outlets. Oddsmakers and bookmakers are two distinct things and oddsmakers don't take a single bet.

If you believe that the sharps and bookies never lose money on a game, then you're mistaken. If you believe that the sharps and bookies never take bath, then you're mistaken. If you believe that the sharps and bookies only live off the Vig, you're mistaken. It's good in theory, but they hardly ever get an equal amount of money on both sides and even when they do, they only take 10%. That's a razor thin margin. They make their money by moving their point off the nationally published spread. And they can do this because that number is hours, sometimes days, old. A degenerate gambler won't call a bookie's bluff and the bookie will know when he's dealing with a sophisticated gambler.

The moron bookies aren't bookies very long.

That said, I very rarely bet on sports anymore...
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You don't even have a clue
 
I want to go on record as saying I don't know what to think about this game and wouldn't be surprised if we got our doors blown off, if we keep it close and cover or if we actually get back to playing UCONN FOOTBALL and win this f#cking thing.

That said, I'll be back here late Friday night telling everyone how I'd predicted we were going to kick their a** .

When we win, I'm going to book a trip to Provo and spend a weekend ringing people's doorbells asking if I can tell them about UCONN FOOTBALL.
 
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+17 looks bigger and bigger with each suspension. BYU down 2 CBs now...

Jim Fuller ‏@NHRJimFuller 1m
Per @AJeffreyCall of the Deseret News, both BYU starting cornerbacks suspended for #UConn game http://runwayramblings.blogspot.com/2014/08/byu-down-both-of-its-starting.html…
 
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tjhusky said:
Over under 52? Doesn't that translate to something like 35-17 BYU.

They really going to get 5 touchdowns on us? If we can't stop Hill that would happen. I just think we will be better than that.
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Glad I am not a better. Dinner doesn't taste so good when I am eating my own words. :eek:
 
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