UConn +17

[Jerry1714]

Week 1 lines released.

Huskies a big home underdog to BYU

 

[CL82]

I guess it's time to "shock the world."

 

[Dooley]

I am taking those points! Thank you very much, Vegas. This actually might be the play of Week 1.

 

[whaler11]

FWIW - UConn had been the best team against the spread in the country as a home dog since 2009. 10-2-1.

 

[Dooley]

The only question is whether or not the line will move towards BYU or UCONN. With UCONN's perception being as low as it is right now, maybe waiting could net an extra point or two.

 

[Jerry1714]

The only question is whether or not the line will move towards BYU or UCONN. With UCONN's perception being as low as it is right now, maybe waiting could net an extra point or two.

17 is a key number, +18 or +18.5 do not mean anything really, you do not want to risk it going to +16.

 

[Dooley]

17 is a key number, +18 or +18.5 do not mean anything really, you do not want to risk it going to +16.

I'll take the 17 right now. If there's one thing I have learned in college football, gimme points aren't so gimme (ex - extra points). Scores don't follow the same nice-and-neat pattern that they do in the NFL. So if there is a chance UCONN can get MORE points as a home dog in its home opener, I'll take those too! But I'll gobble up these 17 with extreme pleasure.

 

[whaler11]

The only question is whether or not the line will move towards BYU or UCONN. With UCONN's perception being as low as it is right now, maybe waiting could net an extra point or two.

17 is the highest it's been. It was 15.5 and 16 a couple of places on low limit early lines.

 

[ZooCougar]

I may have to take that bet.

 

[Gastoncoug]

17 is the highest it's been. It was 15.5 and 16 a couple of places on low limit early lines.

BYU fan here. If history means anything, we tend to start the season slow. Eastern time zone has also been tough for us. I wear the blue goggles and hope to break these stereotypes, but take the points.

 

[BlueMAB]

What's the money line?

 

[DSquiz]

Money line is +625, if Diaco can turn things around UConn fans can make a lot of money.

 

[uconndogs]

This is a dreadful opening match-up for us. An experienced and mature team with some good skill players returning. I think the defense could really struggle.

 

[whaler11]

17 point underdogs only win outright 8.5% of the time so +625 isn't too generous. You need to win 16% of the time to break even in the long run at +625.

 

[BlueMAB]

17 point underdogs only win outright 8.5% of the time so +625 isn't too generous. You need to win 16% of the time to break even in the long run at +625.

Energy vampire.

 

[Dooley]

Flat out winning the game and hanging within 17 points are two different things. My opinion: UCONN will hang for 3 Quarters then BYU will pull away late, winning by between 10-14 points. It will be an exciting game and it will be a good way to start the season for our Mushers. Gain some confidence while getting hungrier for Ws.

But it sure would be nice if we got a W!

 

[whaler11]

Energy vampire.

Well the market can be wrong. If someone thinks they win 25% of the time it's a good bet.

 

[uconndogs]

We need a few things to happen to win this game:

• The LBs have to play very well in the new scheme (new guys in a new scheme seems to be asking a lot)
• We need a couple of big plays on either defense or specials
• We run the ball effectively (at least 100 yards) to let the young guys on the OL get settled in on their pass blocking

 

[BlueMAB]

Well the market can be wrong. If someone thinks they win 25% of the time it's a good bet.

Risking $25 (roughly the price of admission) to win $150+/- which would pay for the rest of my tickets on the season isn't a terrible bet.

We're always better at home, and at especially at night. We should have beat Michigan last year as 2 TD+/-(?) dogs. We've had other big wins, these guys are hungry and they're going to shock the small part of the world that pays attention to AAC football.

Or I lose $25. Which has no affect at all on my weekend.

 

[EdgewoodNHV]

Or I lose $25. Which has no affect at all on my weekend.

Hey now, that's two beers at The Rent!

 

[whaler11]

Risking $25 (roughly the price of admission) to win $150+/- which would pay for the rest of my tickets on the season isn't a terrible bet.

We're always better at home, and at especially at night. We should have beat Michigan last year as 2 TD+/-(?) dogs. We've had other big wins, these guys are hungry and they're going to shock the small part of the world that pays attention to AAC football.

Or I lose $25. Which has no affect at all on my weekend.

I'm not trying to talk anyone out of it. I just shared some of the math and history on 17 point dogs.

Everything you listed is priced into the +17. So while it might still be wrong - you don't have any angle that isn't priced into the market.

 

[EdgewoodNHV]

So, uh, does anyone know of any, er, dependable sites one could, ah, use to make, um, legitimate wagers?

 

[Jerry1714]

So, uh, does anyone know of any, er, dependable sites one could, ah, use to make, um, legitimate wagers?

Find a guy in your area...................

 

[HuskyHawk]

FWIW - UConn had been the best team against the spread in the country as a home dog since 2009. 10-2-1.

UConn is the Rodney Dangerfield of football for sure.

 

[Stinger92860]

Find a guy in your area....

What about Vegas on the web?