No doubt about the 4* players. Shoot there are some 5* players that come into the college game and our overwhelmed. It is going to be interesting now that 5th yr senior will be more rare, we may see more of an impact.
But with the portal there are probably 50 4* high schoolers with one year college game experience who will be way better players than most if not all 4* coming out of high school. Then you have the 3* juniors who are coming off very good sophomore seasons that are better.
Basically with NIL and the money these kids are paid why not stay four years. You will make more money with a very good NIL deal than you will on a two way contract and I see the NIL $$ expanding at a faster rate than the two way NBA contracts which only change during the renewal of the CBA between the players and owners.
NIL is just how many billionaire alumni do you have to pay the kids. BYU and Utah (more so BYU) will be able to field dominant teams year in and year out because where they are getting their money is from a source that has more money than most countries.