Yup, one down year proves that 4x and defending NC 5x FF UConn belongs with Tulane, Houston, Eastern Carolina, and Central Florida.
Right? Insane.
We are having a down year because of poor recruiting classes in 2012, '13 and (to an extent) '14. "Poor" meaning "filled with talented projects or limited role players"; not "poor" as in "these guys don't belong in a UConn uniform!"
Those poor recruiting classes were a product of several things: questions about Calhoun's future; questions about conference realignment; questions about KO's coaching acumen; the postseason ban; recruiting restrictions.
All but one of those questions (CR) has now been answered, and as a result our recruiting has gotten successively stronger. We've still missed out on players and have not done well playing catch-up (Perkins, Chuckwu, Mack, Clarke), but this kind of penance is exactly what the powers that be envisioned when the APR nonsense happened. Most thought it was coming in 2012/13, but that's the difference between a veteran team (which is what that was) and a young team.
The good news? Young players grow up. They improve. They learn the finer points of the game, and they learn to win. Say what you want about the job KO's doing this year - and it hasn't been great - but look at the career arcs of Shabazz, Niels, DD, Boat, Amida and Facey, and tell me he doesn't know how to get guys to improve year-over-year. Look at the threads on this board from January of last year, and compare them to the threads in March, and tell me he doesn't know how to get a team to improve through the course of the season. Look at how much earlier we're on our top targets for '16 and '17 than we were for '13, '14 and '15.
This year sucks. Next year could also be very ugly for the first couple of months. We were bound to go through something like this - just as Indiana did, just as UCLA did. Only Kentucky, Kansas and Duke are immune (UNC is debatable).
If we don't make a run in the AAC tournament, and if we come back next year with Hamilton & Purvis still missing free throws and committing stupid turnovers, and Facey still too reluctant to shoot an 18-footer that he can clearly make, then I'll (sadly) eat these words.
But I'm pretty confident things are going in the right direction.