- Joined
- Dec 31, 2016
- Messages
- 110
- Reaction Score
- 214
His coming back to Uconn has made me go back and look at my analysis of Uconn when he was the coach. I only kept the records of 2004-2010 when Uconn joined the FBS. We tend to think he was really good winning 7,8,9 games a year (most seasons). What is forgotten s where the wins came from, and it is pretty eye-opening. Not at all what you would expect. here are the numbers, you be the judge:
OVERALL RECORD: 50-38
A BREAKDOWN OF WHAT I LIST AS QUALITY OF WIN, it helps me find over/under rated teams in a given year, here is what I had from Edsal and Uconn:
OPPONENT UCONN W/L OPPONENT RECORD IN UCONN WIN
FCS 7-0 N/A
AKRON 1-0 4-8
ARMY 3-0 9-25
BAYLOR 2-0 8-16
BUFFALO 4-0 10-36
DUKE 2-0 3-20
IND 1-0 5-7
ND 1-0 6-6
OHIO U. 1-0 9-5
TOLEDO 1-0 9-4
SC 1-0 9-5
VANDY 1-0 2-10
TEMPLE 3-1 10-26
SYRACUSE 5-2 18-42
S. FLA 4-2 31-20
PITT 4-3 27-22
LOUISVILLE 3-3 15-21
VIRGINIA 1-1 5-7
CINN 2-4 15-11
RUTGERS 2-5 12-12
W.VA 1-6 9-4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 50-38 216-307 .413
** 7 wins vs FBS so 43-38 against teams that were 216-307
Number of teams they beat that had a 10 win season (including post-season) 1
Number of teams they beat that had a winning season (including bowls) 11
Number of teams they beat that were .500 or less or FCS (including bowls) 37
Number of teams they beat that had 4 wins or less 28
NOTES:
This team is vastly over-rated. Most of the wins come against scrap teams (74%), the overall record is very decieving
Seem to take care of business in winnable games, but wins on average 1.36 games a year vs a winning team
That stat places them in the bottom 15% o all teams with a winning record over the 7 yr period
That certainly sheds some light on where they were under Edsal, win yes, quality wins, very few (1.36 per season)
The Maryland numbers were no different:
2011-14 and 6 games in 2016:
22 wins:
5-0 vs FCS
17 other wins vs teams that went on to a combined 95-124 in the season MD beat them
6 wins vs teams that finished better than .500
11 vs those finishing .500 or worse, plus the 5 vs FCS schools so 17/22 wins were vs scrap teams.
he had 0 wins vs a team that finished with more than 8 wins, including their Bowl games.
So we fire Bob Diaco because he lost 13-89 in his last 3 -76 net points
So Maryland fired Edsal because he lost 34-122 his last 3 -88 net points
Obviously in each case those numbers contributed to the firing, not the total reason for it.
See, the media, the presser, the AD, etal. has many bought in to how good this is. It's good if you want a baby sitter, that stabilizes your program. If that is what your ceiling is hopeful of being, you probably got what you want.
Here is the issue however. He is here for 3 years at least. The landscape in NCAA football is fluid, and the windows of opportunity, are going to come and go quickly. If your a 5-7 to 9-3 team (which is more likely the case, than least likely), your sure to be left behind.
Edsal, to my knowledge had 0 head coaching interviews, or job offers, ever wonder why?
OVERALL RECORD: 50-38
A BREAKDOWN OF WHAT I LIST AS QUALITY OF WIN, it helps me find over/under rated teams in a given year, here is what I had from Edsal and Uconn:
OPPONENT UCONN W/L OPPONENT RECORD IN UCONN WIN
FCS 7-0 N/A
AKRON 1-0 4-8
ARMY 3-0 9-25
BAYLOR 2-0 8-16
BUFFALO 4-0 10-36
DUKE 2-0 3-20
IND 1-0 5-7
ND 1-0 6-6
OHIO U. 1-0 9-5
TOLEDO 1-0 9-4
SC 1-0 9-5
VANDY 1-0 2-10
TEMPLE 3-1 10-26
SYRACUSE 5-2 18-42
S. FLA 4-2 31-20
PITT 4-3 27-22
LOUISVILLE 3-3 15-21
VIRGINIA 1-1 5-7
CINN 2-4 15-11
RUTGERS 2-5 12-12
W.VA 1-6 9-4
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL 50-38 216-307 .413
** 7 wins vs FBS so 43-38 against teams that were 216-307
Number of teams they beat that had a 10 win season (including post-season) 1
Number of teams they beat that had a winning season (including bowls) 11
Number of teams they beat that were .500 or less or FCS (including bowls) 37
Number of teams they beat that had 4 wins or less 28
NOTES:
This team is vastly over-rated. Most of the wins come against scrap teams (74%), the overall record is very decieving
Seem to take care of business in winnable games, but wins on average 1.36 games a year vs a winning team
That stat places them in the bottom 15% o all teams with a winning record over the 7 yr period
That certainly sheds some light on where they were under Edsal, win yes, quality wins, very few (1.36 per season)
The Maryland numbers were no different:
2011-14 and 6 games in 2016:
22 wins:
5-0 vs FCS
17 other wins vs teams that went on to a combined 95-124 in the season MD beat them
6 wins vs teams that finished better than .500
11 vs those finishing .500 or worse, plus the 5 vs FCS schools so 17/22 wins were vs scrap teams.
he had 0 wins vs a team that finished with more than 8 wins, including their Bowl games.
So we fire Bob Diaco because he lost 13-89 in his last 3 -76 net points
So Maryland fired Edsal because he lost 34-122 his last 3 -88 net points
Obviously in each case those numbers contributed to the firing, not the total reason for it.
See, the media, the presser, the AD, etal. has many bought in to how good this is. It's good if you want a baby sitter, that stabilizes your program. If that is what your ceiling is hopeful of being, you probably got what you want.
Here is the issue however. He is here for 3 years at least. The landscape in NCAA football is fluid, and the windows of opportunity, are going to come and go quickly. If your a 5-7 to 9-3 team (which is more likely the case, than least likely), your sure to be left behind.
Edsal, to my knowledge had 0 head coaching interviews, or job offers, ever wonder why?