i think PSU will stumble for the next few years, but in five years Pennsylvania will still be full of high school kids that want to play football for state U in front of 100k. i think they'll still get decent, albeit smaller recruiting classes for the next few years b/c there's still a lot of kids that want to play there.
many are predicting USC to be a top 5 team this year, so i would call their punishment a hiccup. PSU's will be more than a hiccup, but not much more than a burp. in some ways the school will never be the same, but i don't expect the impact on the field to be anywhere near what some are predicting.
The reason USC is a top 5 team is because they didn't lose their best recruits. I don't care what people say...yeah they lost recruits, but the moment that Matt Barkley decided to stay on that team, they were able to retain top recruits and still get top recruits during the bowl ban. Had they lost Matt Barkley, I'd say there is a good possibility that USC would not have been able to keep their good recruits and probably future recruiting would have suffered.
And maybe it seems crazy to pin USC's success on one guy, but everyone has to remember he was the #1 recruit in his year and surely will be a top 10, if not top 5 pick in next year's NFL draft. I don't think it's that crazy.
PSU won't be able to do this because they're going to lose a whole generation of recruits. And PSU never could recruit the caliber of player that USC has been able to for years. PSU recruits a lot of very very good players, but USC gets elite players. To draw the comparison between the two schools is crazy IMO.