Last night’s BIG games mark the half-way point of the BIG conference season. Every team has played at least 9 conference games, except UCLA and USC, who have played 8 games, and Northwestern, who has played 7 games. Northwestern canceled its LA trip due to the fires, otherwise all teams would have played at least 9 conference games as of January 27 (PSU and Rutgers have played 10).
Through games of January 27, advanced conference-game stats show a dramatically different league with the arrival of the PAC-12 4, and the departure of Caitlin Clark and Mackenzie Holmes. The league is much less offensively efficient and (obviously) much more defensive.
Through 8 games, UCLA is the best offensive team in league play, but on a Points Per Play (PPP) basis (points scored per play finished with a shot, free-throw trip or turnover), UCLA is a material step down from the best offensive BIG teams of the advanced WBB stats era:
BIG OFFENSIVE PPP (since 2009-10)
USC this season checks in at .90 Offensive PPP, tied with Minnesota and Indiana for 4th in the league.
On a defensive basis, through 8 games, USC is the best defensive team in BIG play in the advanced stats era. USC’s Opponents’ PPP are the lowest in BIG league play since at least 2009-10, and Oregon is close behind with the 5th lowest in BIG league play since 2009-10:
BIG DEFENSIVE PPP (since 2009-10)
USC’s Opponents’ Effective Field Goal Percentage (efg%) in league play is 38.2%, the lowest in BIG league play since at least 2009-10. Iowa led the BIG last year in league play with Opponents’ efg% of 47.3%. Quite the change in one season. UCLA and Oregon are 2nd and 3rd in BIG play this season with Opponents’ efg% of 43.4% and 44.8%.
USC has the highest Block Percentage in BIG league play since at least 2009-10, and UCLA has the 10th highest Block Percentage in BIG history over the same time period. Guess they knew how to play defense in the PAC-12 (but not Washington).
The BIG also features some historically bad defenses this season in conference play, but perhaps unbalanced schedules and small first-half sample size are to blame. Washington’s Opponents’ efg% is 55.5%, the highest in BIG league play since at least 2009-10. Purdue’s and Northwestern’s Opponents’ PPP is .98, the highest in BIG league play since at least 2009-10.
It will be interesting to see if the first-half statistical changes hold up for the entire conference season, including the conference tournament.
All stats are conference-game only stats per HerHoopStats, inclusive of conference tournament play.