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So here is/was my thinking. Going in to the season I started with this.
The schedule was weaker than last years(Although the conference is stronger, especially the bottom half).
Last years team under achieved.
We have AG and added a couple good (able to contribute) players.
Expected improvement from the holdovers.
Added a coach who almost everyone(I think)saw as an upgrade.
Given all that, with last years 14-18 record, 20 to 22 wins did not seem out of reach.
If you add 3 wins for underachieving, one for AG, 2 for downgrade of schedule, that would be 20. Those numbers are all subjective I concede...but I did have a thought process. I purposely did not add wins for Coach Hurley since I added 3 for underachieving which might be redundant.
I hope this explains my thought process.
The schedule was weaker than last years(Although the conference is stronger, especially the bottom half).
Last years team under achieved.
We have AG and added a couple good (able to contribute) players.
Expected improvement from the holdovers.
Added a coach who almost everyone(I think)saw as an upgrade.
Given all that, with last years 14-18 record, 20 to 22 wins did not seem out of reach.
If you add 3 wins for underachieving, one for AG, 2 for downgrade of schedule, that would be 20. Those numbers are all subjective I concede...but I did have a thought process. I purposely did not add wins for Coach Hurley since I added 3 for underachieving which might be redundant.
I hope this explains my thought process.