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- Jun 14, 2012
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It basically goes to game theory - it's in all major conferences interest to limit ND's access as much as possible as an independent but they also realize the national pull ND has and doesn't want them to join as a full FB member if it's not their own conference.
Since no one conference can trust the others enough to put a united front against ND, they will have a seat at the table for the foreseeable future. SEC has a harder stance against ND because they realize that there's 0% chance that ND will join the SEC if ever pushed to join full time.
The only thing that will probably force a change is if conferences get so big that a 10 game conference schedules become the norm (a pretty big if that's at least a few decades off) - probably not going to happen for at least another 20 years if ever.
With Notre Dame playing 5 games per year against ACC teams, that's only 3 games away from full membership. With ND fans and viewers seeing ACC teams that often as well as the rest of the viewing public, it's going to look like ND is in the ACC to the casual viewer anyway. The only thing Notre Dame is doing is depriving itself of the Conference Championship Game opportunity to have flexibility in scheduling those 3 games.
If Notre Dame does decide to join a conference down the road, it will be the ACC. ND wants access to the East and access to the South for recruiting which is where the ACC is. They're already in the Midwest, so they don't need access there. That rules out the Big Ten. They don't have much affinity with the plains states ruling out the Big XII, and the PAC 12 is too far away. The SEC won't give them the East. Then you have the whole private school/public school thing which makes the ACC attractive to Notre Dame as well.