So are we in? | Page 3 | The Boneyard

So are we in?

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Should we be? Yes. Absolutely.

Do I trust the selection committee? Absolutely not.

Pretty much. SMU was ranked in 2014 the week before Selection Sunday and they didn't make it.
 
If one thinks UConn and Cincy are both still bubble teams then there are probably 13 "consensus" bubble teams competing for 8 spots.

My feeling is that Cincy, Vandy, UConn and St. Mary's are safe. Tulsa, Arkansas-Little Rock and Michigan still control their fates. IMO, all are in with wins on Saturday or out with losses. Temple apparently needs to get the auto-bid. Hoping for those four teams to not make it are (in likely order of bubble strength): Valpo, Pitt, St. Bonnies, Monmouth and Cuse. I think a Tulsa win tonight boots Cuse anyway (although they appear to not want this game!). I don't think any other team is in the conversation.
 
I would think so unless there are some major upsets in the P5 conference playoffs that push some expected automatic bids into the at-large pile. So, call it 60/40 in at this point. Beat Temple, its 75/25, win the AAC, its 100%.
 
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