It's ok to say that you have no idea what his family is thinking. You don't have to be certain about everything discussed on this board. We don't really know what his family is valuing/not valuing for Vance's college decision.
There really is no way to know what a recruits family is thinking unless they come right out and say things like,
we want Vance to stay close to home so that we can often attend his games. He wants that too...
And even then, this still might not be enough of a chip to push them in the direction of the programs closer to home.
With that said, if all things are close or equal between two good programs, and based on Martin's recruiting of late, proximity could turn out to be a factor.
Just taking a wild guess at this, I think it will come down to the following but not necessarily in this order:
- Perceived PT and contribution opportunity. (I include contribution since some kids want to have a more prominent role such as one of the primary scoring options.)
- Program Fit - Conducive style of play, cultural fit w/ teammates and coaching staff
- Relationship with Coaches and Players
- Confidence that the program can give them the best chance of making it to the next level.
- Proximity sometimes plays a role
Many would like to think that past program and player success would be the biggest factor, but if that were the case you'd have all the best players wanting to go to just a select few programs, but past and recent history shows that the recruits are spreading themselves quite liberally around the nation, though a handful of elite P5 conferences tend to get larger quantity of top recruits.
UConn has had a history of attracting underrated and under-ranked recruits who have a lot of upside and have a huge
I'll prove them wrong chip on their shoulder, ala Bazz, Boatright, Ben, etc. Ones who come in to work hard to earn PT. We've had the low ranked that out-performed much higher ranked recruits. We've had some relatively high ranked ones that were Burger-AA snubs that I'm sure wanted to out-play those who weren't snubbed. I think Adams might fall into this category like many who came to UConn before him.
I don't know where Jackson lines up with this above description. I'd say he looks to be ranked about where he belongs, though as I've said a number of times, the rankings are an inexact science.