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Serious question for LVol fans...

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thanks for all the replies tennfanatic. i know it can be practically impossible to be objective just after a tough loss you probably feel should have gone the other way. and i loved your comments about adjusting to the game. i bet some tennessee fans are blaming the refs for the loss, just as some UCONN fans did against ND. but bottom line, Tenn had a 3 point lead with under 2 minutes, just like UCONN had a 4 point lead with about the same time left vs. ND, and neither team pulled it out. much as i root against Tennessee, i'm betting you guys win by 10 in Knoxville... and i feel the same way about this UCONN team vs. ND in February...

btw to answer trb's question, if it were me, i'd give kentucky a 2 seed at this point along with MD, Duke, and then it would be really close between RU, Tenn and Miami. probably give the nod to tennessee since they beat the other two.

but by the end of the year, i'm betting tennessee has a loss to ND, but after that, i could seriously see them losing to no one else and winning the SEC. in that case, i'd probably give the 2 seed to both Tenn and KY, but it would depend how KY does the rest of the year (ie. lose to Georgia or Vandy or someone else)...
Bear in mind that there's a really good chance that TN beats KY twice before the year is out. Remember this was a one point loss in Kentucky's gym on a night when Mathies was on fire. Let's not read too much into it.
 
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Here's my take:

1. I agree completely with Eric's premise. I had Tennessee pegged as a strong 3 and they've been the one team that hasn't lived up to my expectations. That said, as Alex pointed out in his outstanding post, TN is a bit worse but not a lot worse. Bear in mind that Tennessee lost one of its games in OT and one by a point. They are extremely close to having only two losses. In which case we'd be talking about them as one of the elite teams (along with the top four). I know Stanford beat them by 17, but that was on the road without Massengale. (Ok, she played 11 minutes but it was her first game back and she was a non-factor.)
2. In addition to losing Cain, Bjorklund and Brewer, they've lost Williams, Massengale, and Spani at one time or other to injuries during the season.
3. My observation is that there is very little improvement from one year to the next after sophomore year, so Simmons was the only one where it was reasonable to expect a big improvement.
4. And Simmons, probably because of Massengale, has regressed in a big way. She's having a truly horrible season--no two ways around it. Simmons regression alone makes a huge difference.
5. Burdick has been a bust so far. Likewise Harrison, who didn't carry big expectations, hasn't contributed much.
6. Massengale although she's been excellent overall has been inconsistent.
7. On top of all of that, all of the intangible factors--a group of seniors that just don't seem to be able to live up to their talent, the coaching situation, etc. But I think 2 through 6 account for most of the gap between where we thought they'd be and where they are.
8. I think by the end of the year they get their act together and will be the top 2 seed. That's just my guess, and there's work to do, but I'll bet they give ND a good game (but lose) and win the rest of their games including two wins over KY. If all that happens, I think they end up as the top 2 seed.

By the way, I looked at the boxscore last night. Harrison, Bass and Burdick all played five minutes. If it was tournament time I don't think any of those players would have gotten off the bench.
 

msf22b

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If I was to prognosticate, I would expect Pat to return next year. I don't think the university and fan base are ready to contemplate the end.
 

Phil

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I'm predicting she won't return.
 

Icebear

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I'm predicting she won't return.
From what I am seeing on TV I do not expect Pat to return next year unless it is in some type of coach emeritus type role which I think would be just fine for her and the team.
 

UcMiami

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This is a really interesting string and given the subject and the delicate issues being discussed it is amazing how civil it has remained - a tribute to both Uconn and Tenn posters.
On Pat's future, I suspect this might be her last year as head coach. I think what would be best for the fans, the team, and Pat herself would be to do what Icebear suggests - create a coaching emeritus type position for her and to name a new head coach for next year. The little I have seen of TN this year I think part of the team's problem is direction and having too many different voices.
The transition to a new coach in TN is never going to be easy, but I think it will only get harder with each passing year under this current configuration.
 

Phil

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From what I am seeing on TV I do not expect Pat to return next year unless it is in some type of coach emeritus type role which I think would be just fine for her and the team.

Yes, I could see that. Don't recall that such a position has ever been done, but this is new territory, and might be a good solution.
 

EricLA

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This is a really interesting string and given the subject and the delicate issues being discussed it is amazing how civil it has remained - a tribute to both Uconn and Tenn posters.
On Pat's future, I suspect this might be her last year as head coach. I think what would be best for the fans, the team, and Pat herself would be to do what Icebear suggests - create a coaching emeritus type position for her and to name a new head coach for next year. The little I have seen of TN this year I think part of the team's problem is direction and having too many different voices.
The transition to a new coach in TN is never going to be easy, but I think it will only get harder with each passing year under this current configuration.
part of the reason is that i think UCONN fans, who don't follow every tennessee game on TV like we do UCONN games, really don't know. i really was trying to ask a serious question and get as objective answers as possible. i was also hoping jmpenn and a few other tenn. fans who post on here would add their thoughts...
 
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