Score prediction thread for SMU | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Score prediction thread for SMU

Sonny44 said:
Where's the highly anticipated report from the last game?
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Sonny, posted all predictions to USF game on that thread as the ref tossed the ball into the air. The formatting of the spreadsheet is lousy as I can't figure out how to post with the spreadsheet formatting intact - figure someone will look at the array of numbers and take pity on me - all you young guys are computer literate.
 
Right now, we have 29 fearless prognosticators - and I do mean some are truly fearless. The average MOV sits at 55 points with Zorro's slashing 188 point put down skewing averages a bit. More to follow as we await our Saturday afternoon "fix"
 
With Crystal out my guess is we tone it down a bit a give the newbies some serious time off the bench: 87 to 52.
 
HuskyFan1125 said:
I think with a shorter bench GA may slow down parts of the game.

82-44
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Hopefully. Attended the SMU game last year and what stood out to me was how UConn could beat them down the floor any time they wanted. Huskies were in such better physical shape that at times it was a layup drill. Predict that due to the streak, UConn comes out on fire and even with a likely 4th Quarter slow down, the subs will want to show their stuff. SMU a better team this year but 91-46.
 
According to Geno, this streak is important to the team. I feel bad for SMU. They are about to experience the determination of this team.

UConn 97 - SMU 39.
 
BroadwayVa said:
Good catch---it should have been 96
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Broadway, just for clarification - since I want you to reap all the rewards of "spot on" predictions. Back early on you posted a prediction of 107 to 32 - a MOV of 75. In addressing Sonny's question, you offered up the number 96. Not sure where that goes - so, if you could, let us know what numbers are relevant, I'll update your prediction. Thanks - and know that there are two picks with a higher MOV right now.
 
Too busy reading and posting to borrow Carnac's crystal ball - but, after careful gazing and studious pondering, I see the numbers 82 and 39 - so it's UConn 82 - SMU 39. That's a modest MOV of 43 - anticipating some but not much drop off as the second half is primarily freshman and sub time.
 
HoopsHoppy said:
Broadway, just for clarification - since I want you to reap all the rewards of "spot on" predictions. Back early on you posted a prediction of 107 to 32 - a MOV of 75. In addressing Sonny's question, you offered up the number 96. Not sure where that goes - so, if you could, let us know what numbers are relevant, I'll update your prediction. Thanks - and know that there are two picks with a higher MOV right now.
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I wasn't posting 96 for consideration! I was asked if I thought SMU would win by the 75 MOV I presented--
So the response was semi-sarcastic--semi-witty---semi--nonsense SMU wins by 96.
But to me personally it doesn't matter which number you'd care to use. Did those high numbers choose Uconn or SMU
 
Broadway, all those semis hit me like an eighteen wheeler and, at the least, I was discombobulated. Understand you loud and clear now. At this moment, with thirty-five entrants, no one is yet willing to placate the Mojo gods and thus choose SMU. Just got a feeling that, this time, the team will have to win all by itself - SMU just isn't inspiring any shock and awe.
 
You guys have convinced me to dip my toes in the water again. No long winded analysis, just a gut feeling of 85-42.
 
SMU somehow edged TAMU, but they lost to Mississippi State by 49. Their average game is 61-58. They rebound well, but shoot poorly and are turnover prone. I think we get a lot of easy buckets. SMU will do well to get to 45. I think the Huskies will be geared up in the spotlight as they were aghast USF. I'm calling a 2-fer at 90-45.
 
If the Huskies are really on, the Ponies may not score. In fact, they may never
get a shot off. They might not even cross the center stripe. It will be tthe Alamo all over again.
 
For SMU, Sportsbet has UConn as a 41.5 point favorite. Wowzers. In one of the UConn games this year, to win $100 betting on our kids, you had to post $8500. Just as I post this, ESPN's Mike Wilbon said it's UConn by 47.
 
BigBird said:
For SMU, Sportsbet has UConn as a 41.5 point favorite. Wowzers. In one of the UConn games this year, to win $100 betting on our kids, you had to post $8500. Just as I post this, ESPN's Mike Wilbon said it's UConn by 47.
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I like our chances! :D
 
MilfordHusky said:
I like our chances! :D
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So, if the estimate is off by 75%, UConn still wins by ten. Yeah, I like our chances too! Here in central Illinois, I wonder what the odds are against our having electric power for the entire weekend. Oy.
 
BigBird said:
For SMU, Sportsbet has UConn as a 41.5 point favorite. Wowzers. In one of the UConn games this year, to win $100 betting on our kids, you had to post $8500. Just as I post this, ESPN's Mike Wilbon said it's UConn by 47.
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That is Massey's spread. Win probability 100%. I think his winning score is too low, but SMU does like stall ball. However, to do that you have to get the ball over the half court line.
 
90-40. All the starters in double digits + another double digit game from Natalie as well!
 
Internal update - our predictors vs. the odds makers - with 41 participants at this moment, the average of submissions (all showing a UConn win) is 95 to 42 or a MOV of 53. We have a couple of entries with a 54 point MOV and one with a 52 so if anyone wants to fill in the gap with their entry, here's an opening - or not!!
 
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