mets1090
Probably returning some video tapes...
- Joined
- Aug 25, 2011
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- UConn had the most efficient offense in the country in 7 years playing the way they did. They averaged around 1.25 points per possession, meaning you would need to shoot around 38-40% from 3 to be considered as good as their average possession depending on how many offensive rebounds you get.
- To justify putting a shot up in the first 15 seconds of the shot clock, you probably want to be gunning for considerably more than the average 1.25 points. Spencer or Karaban taking an open 3 at 50%+, anyone attempting a layup or dunk, etc. will reasonably be worth 1.5+ points.
- Clingan was a menace on the offensive boards, so anyone else taking a 3 is relatively better as long as they shoot better or even slightly worse percentages. e.g. Newton shooting 30% on his late clock 3s with Clingan planted in the paint is probably just as efficient as Clingan shooting 38% with no big man inside, and they could get that whenever they wanted.
- When Clingan was open at the top of the key, it is because the other team's center was around the free throw line while UConn would have 4 or 5 guys at or near the 3 point line, meaning the relative advantage UConn has on the offensive glass would more than likely not exist with Clingan shooting.
He could have shot 38% on open 3s and it likely would be a net negative, considering the sacrifice they'd be making on the offensive glass, the ease with which they generated open 3s for Karaban or Spencer, and the number of open lay ups and dunks they got. It is reasonable to think that if Clingan played for the 30th best offense, he would have been given the opportunity to try taking more open 3s and get a bigger sample than 8 shots. But instead he played on the number 1 offense, so we really have no way of knowing how good he is in a game setting.