Race for 1 Seed (2/5)

[shizzle787]

I hope we are the #2 in the East. Very likely now.

 

[RuffRuff]

I hope we are the #2 in the East. Very likely now.

Why it's silly to start angling for 1 seeds and placement before you go out and get your keister handed to you.

 

[gtcam]

Seeding is the least of the coaches and players problems at this point

 

[UConNick]

Well, it’s going to be a 2. But the East is definitely back in play now.

 

[bendm]

Why it's silly to start angling for 1 seeds and placement before you go out and get your keister handed to you.

There was no harm in it and A favorable path is even more important now.

 

[RuffRuff]

LMAO, I been telling you this for weeks! That backcourt was going to cost them.

The turnovers - Vandy exposed them when their bigs tried to handle the ball outside.

 

[gtcam]

Hurley and the Florida coach were both outcoached today.

 

[jibsey]

Hurley and the Florida coach were both outcoached today.

No, our players were outplayed. What the hell could Hurley have done about turnovers? Piss poor shooting? Missed bunnies? Inbounding throw aways? Please.

 

[JungleLobo]

Hurley and the Florida coach were both outcoached today.

Golden hit the showers early

 

[controlfade]

I

The turnovers - Vandy exposed them when their bigs tried to handle the ball outside.

Their guards are bad, front court bails them out

 

[BFieldHusky]

From CBS. This is what we want (2 seed in the East).

UConn entered Saturday evening in a prime position to secure a No. 1 seed after Florida lost to Vanderbilt and Houston lost to Arizona. The Huskies didn't take advantage of the opportunity, and it might cost them on Selection Sunday. In our latest Bracketology projections at CBS Sports, UConn will fall to a No. 2 seed. In fact, UConn would be behind Houston for the top No. 2 seed as far as official seeding goes. – Salerno

 

[BFieldHusky]

Assuming Michigan beats Purdue today, I am thinking it may lay out as the following:

East: 1. Duke 6. UConn 10. Illinois, 16. Alabama (33)
South: 4. Florida 5. Houston 9. Purdue, 14. Nebraska (32)
Midwest: 2. Michigan 7. Iowa St. 12 Virginia, 15. Kansas (36)
West: 3. Arizona 8. Michigan St. 11. Vandy, 13. Gonzaga (35)

 

[Chonky]

Assuming Michigan beats Purdue today, I am thinking it may lay out as the following:

East: 1. Duke 6. UConn 10. Illinois, 16. Alabama (33)
South: 4. Florida 5. Houston 9. Purdue, 14. Nebraska (32)
Midwest: 2. Michigan 7. Iowa St. 12 Virginia, 15. Kansas (36)
West: 3. Arizona 8. Michigan St. 11. Vandy, 13. Gonzaga (35)

Why wouldn’t they just follow the s curve in this case?

Duke-MSU. 1-8
Mich-ISU. 2-7
AZ-UConn. 3-6
Fla-Houston. 4-5

I know they say they give distance considerations but how many seed lines does that go down?

 

[RuffRuff]

Why wouldn’t they just follow the s curve in this case?

Duke-MSU. 1-8
Mich-ISU. 2-7
AZ-UConn. 3-6
Fla-Houston. 4-5

I know they say they give distance considerations but how many seed lines does that go down?

I'm wondering how AZ isn't considered a potential 1 seed overall. They just won the best conference reg & tourney, beat two top ten teams on the way there.

At this point, who cares about he 1 we get paired up with. We should focus more on who the 3 and the 7. Hoping it's a Nebraska type team. Sitting here angling for the best 1 draw is kind of ridiculous after last night. We are going to have to likely get through a 7 and a 3 to even get there. We have one win against teams of that caliber since early December - StJ @ home, same team that pasted us last night.

 

[uh-no]

I'm wondering how AZ isn't considered a potential 1 seed overall. They just won the best conference reg & tourney, beat two top ten teams on the way there.

I'd think mostly because duke has the better win.

But I think all 3 are very very good and probably a coin toss ATM (assuming healthy duke). As all will end up in their preferred locations, I doubt it will matter too much who is the overall.

 

[BFieldHusky]

Just looking at some people's update. Andy Katz has UConn as a 2 in the East with Duke. Michigan is with Iowa St. Arizona with Michigan St. Florida as the 1 seed with Houston.

Really need to Purdue to lose to Michigan.

 

[BFieldHusky]

CBS and Lunardi also have UConn as a 2 in the East in their recent updates...

 

[RuffRuff]

Just looking at some people's update. Andy Katz has UConn as a 2 in the East with Duke. Michigan is with Iowa St. Arizona with Michigan St. Florida as the 1 seed with Houston.

Really need to Purdue to lose to Michigan.

Where we land is guesswork until they unveil. Again, not sure it matters much - who our 7/10 and 3 seed will matter more.

 

[BFieldHusky]

CBS has Michigan St as our 3. Miami/UCF as the 7/10.
Lunardi has Michigan St as our 3.
Katz has Purdue as our 3 with Miami/UCF also as the 7/10.

 

[KingAG]

CBS has Michigan St as our 3. Miami/UCF as the 7/10.
Lunardi has Michigan St as our 3.
Katz has Purdue as our 3 with Miami/UCF also as the 7/10.

UCF would be a tough 10. The couple times I’ve watched them they looked decent

 

[BFieldHusky]

Bracketmatrix this morning has Houston, UConn and Iowa St pretty firmly on the 2 line. Michigan St is the last 2 seed, with Purdue behind them.

 

[RuffRuff]

UCF would be a tough 10. The couple times I’ve watched them they looked decent

Bracketmatrix this morning has Houston, UConn and Iowa St pretty firmly on the 2 line. Michigan St is the last 2 seed, with Purdue behind them.

This all sounds right - Miami/UCF would be a tough draw, but we should beat either. I'm personally rather see MSU.

 

[bendm]

CBS and Lunardi also have UConn as a 2 in the East in their recent updates...

Perfect

Bracketmatrix this morning has Houston, UConn and Iowa St pretty firmly on the 2 line. Michigan St is the last 2 seed, with Purdue behind them.

Perfect. If Purdue wins today they should bump MSU off the 2 but same results
East
1 Duke
2 UConn
South
1 UF
2 Houston
Midwest
1 UM
2 ISU
West
1 Zona
2 MSU/Purdue

 

[UConNick]

Just completed my final bracketology. I assumed wins for all of the teams seeded higher in the tournament finals today, though also considered that the committee itself doesn't really take these weekend results into account. You'll note that I don't have Arkansas in my top 16, for example, despite their SEC tournament crown. My full bracket and s-curve is also attached.

My top 16 seeds and their pod sites:

East: 1. (1) Duke - Greenville; 2. (6) UConn - Philly; 3. Nebraska (12) - Oklahoma City; 4. (16) Kansas - Portland

Midwest: 1. (2) Michigan - Buffalo; 2. (7) Iowa St - St. Louis; 3. (10) Illinois - Philly; 4. (13) Vanderbilt - Greenville

West: 1. (3) Arizona - San Diego; 2. (8) Purdue - St. Louis; 3. Gonzaga (11) - Portland; 4. (15) Alabama - San Diego

South: 1. (4) Florida - Tampa; 2. (5) Houston - Oklahoma City; 3. (9) Michigan St - Buffalo; 4. (14) Virginia - Tampa

Notes:

UConn to the East actually feels very solid right now. I do see a world where the committee still has us ahead of Houston on the curve and we are in the South instead (don't think this is overly likely).

I agree with Miami (FL)/UCF a very probable 7/10 game for us. I probably got a little cute and moved Miami to another quadrant, but it would be perfectly in line. Our good friend Kentucky may also be floating around the 7 line.

I wish the committee did take into account conference tournaments more. Arkansas and Vanderbilt could have seen major jumps (I've already given Vandy a decent jump from 16-17 to 13 after accounting for their TN and FL wins). Virginia also could push for a 3 if the committee considered their ACCT performance.

Our 3 is 99% going to be a B1G team, mainly because that's who's floating along the line. I originally had us paired with Michigan St on my bracket, but swapped them with Nebraska for competitive purposes. All of them are beatable, but let's get through the first two rounds before thinking too hard about that.

I'll repeat: the bubble suuuuuuucks. My last four in are Missouri, Texas, SMU, and Miami (OH). I also have them all behind South Florida on the S-Curve; assuming they win today, they've actually got a really strong resume for a mid-major team. Cuse would be lucky to poach their coach. If Miami (OH) is left out for an Auburn or a Cal or an Indiana, it'll be a downright travesty. VCU should be in. If they lose today, I fear it might knock Miami (OH) out, but I hope it would knock out SMU or Texas.

Mountain West kinda screwed themselves into being a one-bid league. I think both SDSU and New Mexico are on the outside looking in. At various points both of those teams in addition to Nevada, Boise, and GCU were on the tournament radar.

As mentioned, PDF attached of my full bracket and S-curve. I'm certainly no expert, but I guarantee I'm miles better than Lunardi. Happy March!

 

[bendm]

Our 3 is 99% going to be a B1G team, mainly because that's who's floating along the line. I originally had us paired with Michigan St on my bracket, but swapped them with Nebraska for competitive purposes.

I think the committee has finished the bracket at this point. Only caveat would be swapping MSU/Purdue as the #2 in the West/#3 in the South if Purdue wins, but they may have already swapped them yesterday, consistent with what you have.