Prognosticators Game 7 (ND) [merged thread] | Page 3 | The Boneyard

Prognosticators Game 7 (ND) [merged thread]

ND's answer for Azura will be watching from the bench clad in a tracksuit.

And, unfortunately, so will option 2 (Mik Vaughn). Lots of questions on that particular match-up. Would not be surprised to see if MM starts switching her defenses a lot; in part, to keep what will be a very short rotation fresh and out of foul trouble.
 
And, unfortunately, so will option 2 (Mik Vaughn). Lots of questions on that particular match-up. Would not be surprised to see if MM starts switching her defenses a lot; in part, to keep what will be a very short rotation fresh and out of foul trouble.

your guards better hit their three's or it could get ugly....................our's too
 
ND is really in a catch 22 defending the Huskies with the injuries to their front court. Shepard is not a true post. Nelson is good for a few minutes off the bench, but she doesn’t have the athleticism to play big minutes against the Huskies. Westbeld is still hobbled somewhat and Patterson is still on a freshman learning curve.

ND needs help defending Z, Pheesa & Gabby inside, so the Irish will need to pack their defense in the paint. That leaves Kia, Danger and Lou, assuming she plays, opportunities to catch and shoot 3’s.

This game could get away from ND early.
 
Yeah, ND is a dangerous opponent, but we have Dangerous:

espnw_i_niketoc_dangerfield_576x681.jpg

Yes we do, and her throttle is w-i-d-e open. She's doing 90 mph in the fast lane, breaking hearts and ankles at the same time. :cool:
 
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I thought I posted a score but didn't see it. So this replaces any prior score that I might have made.
Irish 63
Uconn 83
Go Lou!!
 
I was gonna go 82-67, but rvw beat me to it. I don't think I saw:

81-67 UConn
 
Why beat-around-the-bush?
IMHO, there is no ND player that could start for the Huskies!

UCONN
C/F Azura Stevens
PF Pheesa Collier
SF Gabby Williams
SG Kia Nurse
PG Crystal Dangerfield

ND
F Jessica Shepard
F Kathryn Westbeld
G Jackie Young/Lili Thompson
G Arike Ogunbowale
G Marina Mabrey

The only ND player with a shot at starting for UCONN is Ogunbowale but Kia Nurse is a better defensive player and can shoot the lights out with her! Kia is the more well-rounded player! Arike would be the 7th player on the UCONN rotation!
Even if ND had Brianna Turner healthy, ND is no match for UCONN's BIGS!
If I were Geno (and thank God I'm not) I'd pound it inside till The Muffett starts crying & stamping her foot in frustration, screaming that she doesn't get any respect!
Katie Lou will play just enough to give ND a 10 point migraine!
How is ND going to defense UCONN when potentially 7 Huskies can score in double figures? The 5 starters above and Katie Lou and Megan Walker, UCONN's bench beyond KLS & MW won't score! Also UCONN should out-rebound ND by 20!
Jessica Shepard's tongue will be hanging on her sneaker laces by the middle of the 1st 1/2!
There will be 14,000+ screaming UCONN fans at the XL Center, and there would be more if XL management didn't build the bar!
So all the above adds up to UCONN 85 / ND 59
 
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Old Dude: Your premise on Z is not going to get any argument from me (or Orangutan for that matter), if you look at our respective posts just above here on posts. While Vaughn was off to a very promising start, she -- too -- was on a freshman learning curve and would've been very challenged with Z's inside/outside abilities. But she was/will be pretty quick for a post and that's what you need. (We'll see how that match-up is next year if Z opts to stay in college and Bri and Mik both come back.).
The only "big" (and she's really more of a traditional forward) who has that kind of agility is Patterson and -- as you said -- she's a frosh who is just beginning to get minutes.

That said, your key words are "pack it in." Would expect to see a bunch of zone from the Irish, with some man to man on occasion, depending on who the Huskies have in.

The Irish have done a good job on the offensive boards, which create second chances (like a turnover does), so the half-court game might be of interest to them, to keep the UConn athletes from going up and down the floor. On the other side, if UConn is not shooting the eyes out, ND likes to push the break, which Ogunbowale, Young and Mabrey all do well. Like Charliebball said, the Irish need to shoot well. If that happens, this could be interesting. However, I'm very leery of the lack of agility in the inside area.
 
Before a sell-out home crowd and with Lou getting in some emotional minutes, UConn has inherent advantages. And separate from these advantages, talent wise they're a 12-15 point better team. They just are. But ND loves to play as underdog and the win against South Carolina was an awesome thing. I'm thinking UConn wins by around 10, giving some BYers just enough angst to write hand-wringing threads on how terrible the team is this year, forgetting how competitive the 2015 NC was when UConn had a significantly better team than ND (Turner was out of that game, too). This is a great rivalry and greatness is defined by one's best opponent. I'm going to skip my Pats on TV and get there early to soak in everything.
 
Before a sell-out home crowd and with Lou getting in some emotional minutes, UConn has inherent advantages. And separate from these advantages, talent wise they're a 12-15 point better team. They just are. But ND loves to play as underdog and the win against South Carolina was an awesome thing. I'm thinking UConn wins by around 10, giving some BYers just enough angst to write hand-wringing threads on how terrible the team is this year, forgetting how competitive the 2015 NC was when UConn had a significantly better team than ND (Turner was out of that game, too). This is a great rivalry and greatness is defined by one's best opponent. I'm going to skip my Pats on TV and get there early to soak in everything.
Turner played in the 2015 NC game. She missed the regular season game where Tuck blazed them at ND. I believe Turner scored all of her points in the second half of that game.
 
Turner played in the 2015 NC game. She missed the regular season game where Tuck blazed them at ND. I believe Turner scored all of her points in the second half of that game.
wow; thanks. I have the distinct recollection of a key ND player--I guess it wasn't Turner--getting a serious injury in the quarter or semis and not playing in the finals....
 
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Probably be the best team UCONN has played so far this year. I don't believe UCONN has ever beaten ND on 12/3. So history is not on our side. Unfortunately UCONN will only be up by 6 after 3 quarters. And of course UCONN will be out scored in the 4th. ND breaks UCONN's home winning streak. 73-68.
Meyers, my friend, I really enjoy your posts, so please don't misinterpret this as snarkiness on my part. Still, if I had any prior trepidation about the likely outcome of this game (I didn't), you have successfully erased them! Didn't you make a similar prediction about one of the recent road trip games? Was it UCLA?? Or is this just a strategy you secretly employ (as I suspect) to guarantee a Husky victory? I always respect Notre Dame, mainly owing to my respect for Muffett, but I think this game presents less of a defensive coaching challenge to Geno than previous ND/UConn matchups. Sadly, owing primarily to injury, ND just doesn't have the down low presence to compete, so the resultant ability for Geno to focus on limiting the effectiveness of ND guard play increases exponentially. ND's guards are great, but they're going to be face-guarded by far better defensive players than they've previously faced. Down low, Shepard (who never should have gotten a waiver to play this year) just isn't the answer...not fast or athletic enough. Lots of folks here have expressed worry about Z accumulating fouls. I think this prospect represents a far greater threat to a thin ND team, and to Shepard in particular. I see this as a 15 point UConn victory, though I think the lead will exceed 15 earlier in the game. Now predictions are just predictions, and I may be proved stunningly wrong here, in which case you will be the recipient of my public apology...but I just don't see it!
 
Both teams trade baskets early on 4-4, UCONN goes on a 13-2 run and MM calls a timeout @ 4’ mark. nd scores a quick 5 out of the timeout but UCONN outscores them 18-11 to end the quarter. More of the same in the second quarter, UCONN outscores 25-13 with Megatron hitting a pair of threes from the corner. Game over at the half.
 
wow; thanks. I have the distinct recollection of a key ND player--I guess it wasn't Turner--getting a serious injury in the quarter or semis and not playing in the finals....

Number 11 from the year before. Natalie Achonwa

Hey there:
That's correct. Natalie Achonwa blew out her ACL in the closing minutes of the team's quarterfinal win against Baylor. As Coach McGraw is quoted in the linked story below, when Ace went down, "it sucked the air right out of the room."

If you recall, ND was undefeated at the time and went on to still beat Maryland in the semis before falling to the Huskies in the finals. Of the final four "ugghs," the worst moment was in that Final 8 game: Ace was playing so very well and was a leader, a good scorer and the glue of that team.

The only good thing to say is that she came back from surgery well, is having a solid career in the pros and with the Canadian Olympic team and just got engaged to be married this summer.


#2 Irish Return to Final Four With 88-69 Win Over #5/6 Baylor
 
Mabrey is averaging less than the other two. Gabby covers Young. UConn 86-76.
 
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Both teams trade baskets early on 4-4, UCONN goes on a 13-2 run and MM calls a timeout @ 4’ mark. nd scores a quick 5 out of the timeout but UCONN outscores them 18-11 to end the quarter. More of the same in the second quarter, UCONN outscores 25-13 with Megatron hitting a pair of threes from the corner. Game over at the half.

Your prediction sounds about right. This year started off badly for Muffet (Brianna Turner sitting out the season), then it got worse when freshman forward Mikayla Vaughn went down with a season ending torn ACL. The only bright spot for McGraw thus far was when the NCAA approved their waiver for Nebraska transfer Jessica Shepard, allowing her to play immediately.

If they’re even a pinch superstitious, and if she’ll allow it, maybe Notre Dame players should rub teammate Lili Thompson’s (3 year starter for Stanford) head for good luck. The Irish point guard, after all, is an endangered species in women’s college basketball — an active player who has actually beaten UConn. Thompson’s production has diminished a bit lately. She’s averaging 3.8 points and 4.3 assists to go with 2.5 turnovers over her last four games, leaving her season figures at 5.7, 5.1 and 2.3, but she's remained a confident player.

This is not one of McGraw's better teams. The only thing she can hope for tomorrow is that her team competes and plays hard for 40 minutes, keeps the score respectable, and no one else gets hurt. The Irish, playing their last of seven straight games away from home, will only dress eight available scholarship players after Tuesday’s injury to Vaughn. ND simply does not have the horses to compete with UConn this year.

Gabby or Kia will be assigned to throw a blanket over their leading scorer Arkie Ogunbowale, in hopes of keeping her under her season average of 20.7 ppg. With Katie Lou Samuelson scheduled to return to the line-up, things should return to normal. If things get any worse for the Irish, they may miss the final four for the 3rd year in a row.
 
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Betting against UConn is generally an awful bet so I am going to say we win. I hope to see some good looking basketball and as far as score I'm gonna go UConn 81 ND 73. Everyone say a prayer that Enterline isn't one of the refs.
 
Meyers, my friend, I really enjoy your posts, so please don't misinterpret this as snarkiness on my part. Still, if I had any prior trepidation about the likely outcome of this game (I didn't), you have successfully erased them! Didn't you make a similar prediction about one of the recent road trip games? Was it UCLA?? Or is this just a strategy you secretly employ (as I suspect) to guarantee a Husky victory? I always respect Notre Dame, mainly owing to my respect for Muffett, but I think this game presents less of a defensive coaching challenge to Geno than previous ND/UConn matchups. Sadly, owing primarily to injury, ND just doesn't have the down low presence to compete, so the resultant ability for Geno to focus on limiting the effectiveness of ND guard play increases exponentially. ND's guards are great, but they're going to be face-guarded by far better defensive players than they've previously faced. Down low, Shepard (who never should have gotten a waiver to play this year) just isn't the answer...not fast or athletic enough. Lots of folks here have expressed worry about Z accumulating fouls. I think this prospect represents a far greater threat to a thin ND team, and to Shepard in particular. I see this as a 15 point UConn victory, though I think the lead will exceed 15 earlier in the game. Now predictions are just predictions, and I may be proved stunningly wrong here, in which case you will be the recipient of my public apology...but I just don't see it!
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The line is UConn -15.5. That's a lot of points against a pretty good team. I saw that SC is a 12.5 point favorite against Duke. That seems like too many points also.
 
The line is UConn -15.5. That's a lot of points against a pretty good team. I saw that SC is a 12.5 point favorite against Duke. That seems like too many points also.
Take UCONN giving anything less than 20!
 
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