I'm doing this more for myself so I can think thru my guess. Creighton was picked 5th in the BE preseason - ahead of Seton Hall, and that was before SHU lost their post player to injury early in the season. And SHU gave UCONN a decent game.
But Creighton started the season 0-3 with losses to Drake, UNI, and SDSU. None of those teams are great, although I think Drake is pretty decent. I have a feeling Creighton is better than I think, but I would not be surprised to see us win by 30-35 points or more.
Our offense is still not on track, but was gangbusters in Q3 with Paige being more assertive. Does she continue that trend in only her 3rd game, or defer back to letting others try to score? Both she and Olivia had monster numbers in Q3.
I think our offense will continue to improve, not leaps and bounds, but in small but noticeable amounts every game. Creighton is capable of scoring over 70 going for 78 and 88 in wins against Butler and Nebraska, but they scored 62, 52, and 47 in their losses. I have a hard time thinking they will score over 50 against UCONN, but we will see.
They jack up a LOT of 3's (almost 30 per game average this season) and have 4 players averaging over 40%. UCONN needs to get out on the shooters, or the game will be a lot closer than anyone would like.
UCONN 88
Creighton 49