Prognosticators Game 23 (SC) Predictions

[and one]

If it wasn't for the Miss St game I would predict a double digit win for South Carolina easily (I dismiss the Indiana game because of the fouls called too tight and Boston and Herbert-Harrington becoming a non factor because of it). That game with Miss St. was really closer than I thought it I'm have been...so...I think South Carolina may have learned some things but it will show Geno something he will exploit. I am still going to call it 88-76 South Carolina because Geno doesn't have the means to offset Boston, Harris and Cooke at the same time. You throw in Herbert-Harrington, Saxon Henderson and Grissett....I just don't see UCONN getting out of Columbia with a win. I have been wrong many times thought....

Ok

 

[and one]

Given home court advantage and being a good basketball team I figure that the Gamecocks have a 65% chance of winning this one. While admittedly I have no idea what the final score will be, I'm going with the underdog - Uconn 72 SC 68.

To me this game is all about Meg. In the only two big games this year her shooting has been less than stellar to say the least. 5 for 20 v Baylor and 3 for 16 v Oregon. For Uconn to make a run in the NCAAs, Meg has to score and she needs to have confidence she can score on good teams. I think I'd rather have Meg go 10 for 16 against SC and lose by 2 than have her go 4 for 16 and win by 2. Mostly I just don't want to have Meg having to deal with another bad shooting day in a big game.

 

[Big Mick]

UCONN 73 vs SC 68

Scorers for SC:
Herbert Harrigan...13
Harris.........................10
Boston.......................15
Cooke........................12
-----------------------
Beal..............................4
Henderson.................8
Saxton.........................3
Grissett.......................3

Now that Geno has taken my advice

 

[heavyhusky]

SC prevails 71 – 65 .

 

[Nyskier]

Here goes:
UConn. 82
SC. 78

I can’t root against the Huskies!

 

[Wbbfan1]

At the beginning of the year, I was confident that this UConn team would continue its unbeaten streak against So Carolina. I had more confidence then I had against Baylor and Oregon. Now, however, I don't think this team can beat So Carolina, especially on their home court. So Carolina 81 UConn 65. To beat So Carolina all 5 Starters will have to be in Double digit scoring and stay out of Foul Trouble. UConn's small lineup if Olivia goes to the bench won't work against So Carolina.

 

[tomcat]

Reluctantly, SC 77, UConn 64

 

[901dawgfan]

Boston is a beast...USC cruises.

 

[ReadR00ster]

I hope it doesn't happen but I like SC chance if it goes in to overtime.

I hope it does. Would be exciting for the fans, and great mental toughness training for both team.

 

[ReadR00ster]

If it wasn't for the Miss St game I would predict a double digit win for South Carolina easily (I dismiss the Indiana game because of the fouls called too tight and Boston and Herbert-Harrington becoming a non factor because of it). That game with Miss St. was really closer than I thought it should have been...so...I think South Carolina may have learned some things but it will show Geno something he will exploit. I am still going to call it 88-76 South Carolina because Geno doesn't have the means to offset Boston, Harris and Cooke at the same time. You throw in Herbert-Harrington, Saxon Henderson and Grissett....I just don't see UCONN getting out of Columbia with a win. I have been wrong many times though....

Miss State, while a very good team, would never be able to replicate the rate of which they were able to make circus shots as they did in that game. It was a slight fluke.

 

[EricLA]

UCONN 72
SC 67

 

[UconnWBB]

Sadly, USC 80-58.

 

[ConwayGmck]

I'm hearing this game is going to be a sellout.....again. It would be the 3rd straight game in CLA in the series with 18,000......

 

[Rb335]

South Carolina is talented, but young. If you key in on Harris and Harrigan defensively, you force freshman to beat UConn. I think we match up decently with them, so it all depends on if we are able to hit shots in a road environment.

I’m not fully convinced, so I’ll go South Carolina 74 UConn 66

 

[ConwayGmck]

South Carolina 8 - UConn 0
Then the lights go out.

 

[Ozimoto]

If the Huskies play like they did yesterday they will be right in it. However, they have not been consistent this year and have seemed a bit star struck/tight when playing other top teams. SC 75, UConn 63.

 

[cockhrnleghrn]

I'm hearing this game is going to be a sellout.....again. It would be the 3rd straight game in CLA in the series with 18,000......

There are still some upper deck GA tickets and a few hundred student tickets remaining. The crowd will be at least 17,000 if not completely sold out.

So far, UCONN's toughest games have been at home or on the road (Depaul) in front of a sparse crowd, so I could see that being somewhat of a factor. My prediction is USC 77 UCONN 66. I'll be in my angry rooster t-shirt 4 rows behind the scorer's table end next to Geno. Say hi if you're there.

 

[Steelerone]

Some meaningless stat comparisons to boggle the mind and distract the unfocused:

Connecticut has played thus far against 7 Quad 1 (Q1) tier opponents, going 5-2 against them. Four of those 7 Q1 opponents are top-25 ranked opponents (#14 DePaul, #2 Baylor, #23 Tennessee, and #3 Oregon) going 2-2.

Combined Stats Versus Top-25 Ranked Opponents:

100-262 (38.2%) FG, 30-90 (33.3%) 3P FG, 172 rebounds (43.0), 57 assists (14.3), 36 steals (9.0), 10 blocks (2.5), 57 turnovers (14.3), 258 points (64.5), 267 opp. points (66.8)

Versus Other Opponents (Games: 18 games (3 Q1, 6 Q2, 9 Q3+Q4):

562-1127 (49.9%) FG, 160-389 (41.1%) 3P FG, 782 rebounds (43.4), 361 assists (20.1), 165 steals (9.2), 104 blocks (5.8), 257 turnovers (14.3), 1465 points (81.4), 934 opp. points (51.9)


South Carolina has played thus far against 11 Q1 opponents, going 10-1 against them. Nine of those Q1 opponents are top-25 ranked opponents (#13 Maryland, #18 Indiana, #2 Baylor, #22 South Dakota, #15 Kentucky, #25 Arkansas, #8 Mississippi State, #23 Tennessee, and again #25 Arkansas) going 8-1.

Combined Stats Versus Top-25 Ranked Opponents:

258-589 (43.8%) FG, 35-127 (27.6%) 3P FG, 421 rebounds (46.8), 125 assists, (13.9), 57 steals (6.3), 61 blocks (6.8), 131 turnovers (14.6), 693 points (77.0), 590 opp. points (65.6)

Versus Other Opponents (Games: 14 games (2 Q1, 5 Q2, 7 Q3+Q4):

463-952 (48.6%) FG, 85-208 (40.9%) 3P FG, 671 rebounds (47.9), 247 assists (17.6), 160 steals (11.4), 131 blocks (9.4), 188 turnovers (13.4), 1225 points (87.5), 706 opp. points (50.4)

Conway, I took your posts to the math department at Princeton. They said that it would take a few weeks to decipher it but they think they have the personnel to do it and will get back to me with the results.

 

[eebmg]

South Carolina 8 - UConn 0
Then the lights go out.

Wouldn't it be South Carolina 0 - UConn 8 and then the lights go out in their home arena??

 

[slug25]

82-76 SC wins

 

[Argonaut]

There are still some upper deck GA tickets and a few hundred student tickets remaining. The crowd will be at least 17,000 if not completely sold out.

So far, UCONN's toughest games have been at home or on the road (Depaul) in front of a sparse crowd, so I could see that being somewhat of a factor. My prediction is USC 77 UCONN 66. I'll be in my angry rooster t-shirt 4 rows behind the scorer's table end next to Geno. Say hi if you're there.

I'll wave to you from section 118 in my UConn long sleeve. I hope there won't be too much heckling.

---

I predicted UConn wins against Oregon and Baylor, and we all know how that one ended.

SC 71
UConn 65

Hopefully I'm very wrong.

 

[Floridaduck]

UConn just undersized against all three top teams. SC wins which is not my preference. Will be rooting for the Huskies.

 

[Bronxjeff]

We have it in us, we can build on Friday's performance:

Us 82 them 71

 

[Najee76]

Indiana wasn't any bigger than we are now by any great measure. We are a better perimeter shooting team. If we play our game and stay out of foul trouble I have full confidence we will win! Go Huskies!
UConn 73
SCarolina 67

 

[ME Husky Fan]

Time to show you belong. UCONN - 76, South Carolina (not USC) - 65..