Point Differential through 10 games

[Brochacho]

17-18: +3
16-17: +5
15-16: +148
14-15: +79
13-14: +121
12-13: +83
11-12: +133
10-11: +172
09-10: +96
08-09: +212
07-08: +170
06-07: +270
05-06: +288
04-05: +215
03-04: +257

 

[elmcityboy]

close wins and blow-out losses :-/

it would be interesting to compare this with a strength-of-schedule stat!

 

[Ts5034]

Theres a lot of cupcakes in the first 10 games of every season. Thats why I think our teams that were really good like 03-04, 05-06, and 08-09 are over 200. Clearly the outlier is 06-07. That didnt end up being a good season but they played one of the easiest November/December schedules in the Calhoun era.

 

[auror]

it would be interesting to compare this with a strength-of-schedule stat!

Leftside and warm colors are KenPom schedule, rightside and blue is Point Differential all by year (Higher schedule is easier schedule, lower is harder, Point differential higher is more effective, lower is bad).

Looking at this, strength of schedule clearly has an effect, but this year is a very worrisome outlier. Our median schedule is about the same as what it's been, maybe even slightly easier than past years, but our differential is abysmal. Also the trendline is clearly a problem...

 

[auror]

Leftside is Median KenPom schedule and rightside is KenPom UConn rank change from start of year to after game 9 (Higher schedule is easier schedule, negative is falling in ranks, positive is gaining in ranks).

We've generally underperformed our KenPom rank through the first 10 games, going back as far as I have data starting in 2011. 2011 and 2016 were only years we gained spots through the first 10 games. This data fits into the previous graph right when our point differential started to trend worse anyways and obviously point differential is very important to KenPom rank.

 

[auror]

Raw data

 

[HuskyHawk]

Meanwhile, Arkansas blew out #15 Minnesota by 16 last night. College basketball is changing.

 

[Dove]

Cupcakes of yore now go down like dry corn muffins now. And without a glass of water. Or milk.