Point Differential through 10 games | The Boneyard

Point Differential through 10 games

Joined
Jun 2, 2015
Messages
1,708
Reaction Score
13,728
close wins and blow-out losses :-/

it would be interesting to compare this with a strength-of-schedule stat!
 
Joined
Aug 27, 2011
Messages
3,217
Reaction Score
10,696
Theres a lot of cupcakes in the first 10 games of every season. Thats why I think our teams that were really good like 03-04, 05-06, and 08-09 are over 200. Clearly the outlier is 06-07. That didnt end up being a good season but they played one of the easiest November/December schedules in the Calhoun era.
 
Joined
Sep 6, 2011
Messages
12,077
Reaction Score
63,137
it would be interesting to compare this with a strength-of-schedule stat!

Leftside and warm colors are KenPom schedule, rightside and blue is Point Differential all by year (Higher schedule is easier schedule, lower is harder, Point differential higher is more effective, lower is bad).
9rIB74U.png


Looking at this, strength of schedule clearly has an effect, but this year is a very worrisome outlier. Our median schedule is about the same as what it's been, maybe even slightly easier than past years, but our differential is abysmal. Also the trendline is clearly a problem...
 
Last edited:
Joined
Sep 6, 2011
Messages
12,077
Reaction Score
63,137
Leftside is Median KenPom schedule and rightside is KenPom UConn rank change from start of year to after game 9 (Higher schedule is easier schedule, negative is falling in ranks, positive is gaining in ranks).
BeLKY3p.png


We've generally underperformed our KenPom rank through the first 10 games, going back as far as I have data starting in 2011. 2011 and 2016 were only years we gained spots through the first 10 games. This data fits into the previous graph right when our point differential started to trend worse anyways and obviously point differential is very important to KenPom rank.
 
Last edited:

HuskyHawk

The triumphant return of the Blues Brothers.
Joined
Sep 12, 2011
Messages
31,859
Reaction Score
81,475
Meanwhile, Arkansas blew out #15 Minnesota by 16 last night. College basketball is changing.
 

Dove

Part of the 2%
Joined
Aug 26, 2011
Messages
15,722
Reaction Score
45,177
Cupcakes of yore now go down like dry corn muffins now. And without a glass of water. Or milk.
 

Online statistics

Members online
563
Guests online
3,480
Total visitors
4,043

Forum statistics

Threads
155,762
Messages
4,030,789
Members
9,863
Latest member
leepaul


Top Bottom