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Other Bubble Teams

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They're pretty much right. The scenario you present moves us about 2 spots down in the RPI. Essentially flat.

What we (and any bubble team) needs to do is root for the following mid majors to win the conference tourneys:

Dayton
Wichita St
Monmouth
St Mary's (possibly)
Nova or Xavier ( :) )
To be safe I would add San Diego St, Valpo, and Ark-Little Rock to the list
 

pepband99

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Yeah, i thought about ALR, but was worried the name recognition police would come after me. I agree they're very very close.

MWC is a 1 bid league this year. i don't think SDSU has enough.

Valpo is a little better. Them and Monmouth will be a very interesting comparison: http://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/bracketology/team-comparison/VALPO/MNMTH

Monmouth has too many bad losses in my eyes. To not win the tournament, they'd take another questionable loss (a slight chance at just inside the top 100) Valpo though, in my mock bracket, is right on the edge. They're one team below the last four in and a 12 seed as an auto qualifier.
 
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