Hard to predict the why and how of admissions. Friend’s son got into Colorado, Syracuse, UMass, UDenver and Penn State; was wait listed by Wisconsin—and rejected by Michigan, Georgia and UConn. Go figure.
Another friend’s son was a top scholar from a well known MA prep school with almost perfect SAT’s. He’d interned at Harvard during his last two high school summers working on a DNA genome study. Encouraged by his counselor, he applied to every IVY. Since his mother was Mexican by birth his counselor suggested he take advantage of his Hispanic heritage on the application. He decided not to do so saying he didn’t want to “game the system”. To the family’s shock, every school rejected him.