OT: Stock trading | Page 197 | The Boneyard

OT: Stock trading

Yeah, it's coming back because people started running out of money, probably in part due to inflation. The economists I saw said it wasn't really retirement, but many were younger people (mostly white males) just choosing the increased unemployment benefits and other assistance over going back to work.

'Pandemic unemployment benefits ended.
 
The Fed was way late and totally blew it. That wasn't wrong. They have now already over-corrected and the only reason a recession is possible is because they are so thick headed and ham handed. They have no patience. Their tools aren't meant to cause rapid changes.

Monetary policy/spending plus war and covid supply chain issues and energy and food supply issues are wildly inflationary. But there are other things going on that are deflationary. If interest rates keep rising they are going to trigger a deflationary spiral and a lot of problems. Unemployment is only low because labor participation is awful.
It's so predictable when people bring up the participation rate to try and discredit the UE rate, almost as if they have been instructed to do so. The LFPR has been declining for ~20 years primarily due to demographics.
 
Are you afraid of a little leverage? I’ll get out when you and everyone else are running for the exits.
LOL. They are built and intended for short term holds, typically daily (hence the name) . It's not just the leverage that's eating away at your capital.
 
LOL. They are built and intended for short term holds, typically daily (hence the name) . It's not just the leverage that's eating away at your capital.
You don’t know what you are talking about. I’ve been trading them for many many year. I hope you’re running for the exits now.
 
This. Because it tracks daily moves, your losses compound more quickly if you don't time the drop, which means you need a bigger drop in the underlying index just to get back to even.


LOL. They are built and intended for short term holds, typically daily (hence the name) . It's not just the leverage that's eating away at your capital.
 
This. Because it tracks daily moves, your losses compound more quickly if you don't time the drop, which means you need a bigger drop in the underlying index just to get back to even.
I bought both many years ago at around $10 or $11 and sold both a a couple years later just north of $140. If the market smells of being tremendously over bought, like now, then your risk is exceedingly small.
 
I bought both many years ago at around $10 or $11 and sold both a a couple years later just north of $140. If the market smells of being tremendously over bought, like now, then your risk is exceedingly small.
SQQQ is down about 10% over the last year, 30% over the last two. It has also effected two reverse splits in the last five years.

So, you didn't do what you say you did.
 
It's so predictable when people bring up the participation rate to try and discredit the UE rate, almost as if they have been instructed to do so. The LFPR has been declining for ~20 years primarily due to demographics.
Look at the chart in this thread. From about 2015 to 2020 it was trending up, because the full Millennial generation hit working age. Then it crashed. Now it is ticking back up but hasn't caught up to 2015, let alone 2019. None of that is demographics. The LFPR should be trending up from a demographic perspective.
 
SQQQ is down about 10% over the last year, 30% over the last two. It has also effected two reverse splits in the last five years.

So, you didn't do what you say you did.
I am long one stock which I own a boatload of, and that is ETN which is having a great day. At the same time, the TZA is up today, but is still very cheap in my view compared to what it was in April of 2020 when I sold it and the FAZ. I just bought in again recently.
 
Look at the chart in this thread. From about 2015 to 2020 it was trending up, because the full Millennial generation hit working age. Then it crashed. Now it is ticking back up but hasn't caught up to 2015, let alone 2019. None of that is demographics. The LFPR should be trending up from a demographic perspective.
Cool, doesn't change the fact that an aging population (still accelerating) is the primary driver of the lower LFPR. This is widely understood. We can quibble about a few points up or down all day.
 
What makes you think that stock is going to light up vs going to pot?
It wasn't my choice. But I was at my local brewery the other day, talking to the owner, as the land adjacent to his business and in about 10 acres behind it is all being developed, and all of it is a grow facility. The third one in town. So, as a REIT, it may be one of the very few commercial real estate areas that is growing.
 
It wasn't my choice. But I was at my local brewery the other day, talking to the owner, as the land adjacent to his business and in about 10 acres behind it is all being developed, and all of it is a grow facility. The third one in town. So, as a REIT, it may be one of the very few commercial real estate areas that is growing.
It does seem like a great bet as long as they stay small. Big banks institutions won’t touch cannabis until it is federally legal, risk of bottom dropping out. But the owners that can/will accept pot uses get a premium for it. So They can create value bc pot pays really high rents.
 
That’s pretty cool. Based on what’s being built two miles from me it makes sense. Yes, I can trade it on Fidelity.

How long does it take Fidelity to clear a deposit? I move the money five days ago and it's still not available to trade. Stock is up 6% in the past five days.
 
How long does it take Fidelity to clear a deposit? I move the money five days ago and it's still not available to trade. Stock is up 6% in the past five days.
I don’t know but account generation usually takes time. My deposits hit pretty quickly.
 
How long does it take Fidelity to clear a deposit? I move the money five days ago and it's still not available to trade. Stock is up 6% in the past five days.
Apply for margin on your account. You’ll go into a debit (and get charged a % on the debt) but you can trade right away until the money clears. Assume it would work for OTC stocks but I haven’t done it.
 
NLST - currently in court vs Samsung, Micron, and Google for stealing their technology. This one could really pop when its all said and done.

 
I have two longer term stocks
One I have been buying since 2014(gsit)
The other ticker is (ATOM) owned since

I only own two stock
1 is Gsit many different purchases since 2014 cost average is slightly below 6 trading in upper 7s. Certainly not a great return so far for 7 years ownership and all my e tra cash. 21500 shares
#2 has been my big winner of my lifetime ATOM owned now for 4 years cash avg also slightly under 5.50 trading close to 30( was over 40) 6700 shares
Maybe only person to lose money on Bitcoin trading twice so no more for me
GSIT is finally ready to roar. zi sold atom and bought it back for a biggie--now hold 3x supply
 

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