I’m tired of this argument/ debate - you’re tired of my thoughts on markets.
The Stock Market has this 35 year old theory called the Efficient Market Theory - original paper by Eugene Fama. With lots and less of Professors research followed. A large part of this - why you can’t overachieve in the Stock Market - is perfect and fully available information. So insider trading doesn’t count. Etc etc. I won’t give you the calculus.
You’re arguing all information is known in Football recruitment. All YouTube, Social Media, Evaluator reviews. In places like Chateauquay Quebec & Etobicoke Ontario; let alone Brookfield (CT), Nashua, Far Rockaway and Charlton (MA).
I believe we are light years beyond where we were in 2003. Best example is understanding what Ryan Steinberg’s job is
Ryan Steinberg - Director of Football Operations - UConn Huskies | University of Connecticut Athletics
But not Efficient
Let’s assume there are 128 Ryan Steinbergs.
Position variables
1. Line evaluation. Edsall loves to watch Senior tape. Most P5 Programs are full - 75/80% committed by the fifth HS game. Dylan Niedrowski is a last year example. This will continue to be the case. The Fall kids are ones that remain and impress ... and often choose not to be the third OG or third DE coming to that P5 begins Four stars.
2. Passing game. WRs are often hard to evaluate out of HS film and if kids aren’t frequent combine participants.
80/20 rule
1. “Selling” a kid on your Football team ain’t all that different than “Selling” highly sought qualified residential mortgagees or expensive home improvement items. You’re not gonna find 128 in Canada nor NH or Long Island or Albany. Not Connecticut HS either.
Florida? Georgia? Texas? That’s where you find everybody and know everything
I believe WE - UCONN- still have a comparative advantage in some relevant locations.
2. The Good News - Prep Schools in NE and on the NY eastern half are far more important than2003. Things changed. Cheshire Academy is one of about 8 we can name off the top of our head nearby that produce Post-Grad or regular footballers. In proximity. Both parents and talent know this; far more prevalent path. They are near.
The statement that we can’t connect and rely on “under the radar” kids isn’t really true - Peart, Van De Mark, Buss, McLean, Tarbutt. We can still be a “Go To School “ for Ontario and Quebec. Only Buffalo seems to also target this regularly. The former reliable regional recruiting by home assistants - Todd Orlando & Rob Ambrose & Terry Richardson & Mike Foley - hasn’t really emerged these early years of HCRE 2.0. We have to be great and prepared at Prep School Football. The most yield needs to still be PA, NJ, MA, DC/MD/VA and Florida. We don’t get 4 Stars.
I do think there are far more QBs available that are quality in 2018 than 2003.
I think the first 20 months of HCRE 2.0 it’s fair to say: he has a far better handle in what works recruiting at UCONN and at this level than PP or Diaco. (Whipple- btw - is very interesting). He has changed. This AAC ain’t the same ballgame as most of the old conference. He’s adapting.