That didn't line up well and I ran out of edit time so
Bill in Georgia brings up an interesting question. How many minutes will each player log next year.
2015 Mins. played ---2016 guess
Stewart 28.3 --------------27 mins
Tuck 25.6 -----------------25
Nurse 25.1 ----------------24
Jefferson 28.8 ------------27
Butler ---------------------24
Williams 15.6------------- 17
Collier ---------------------12
KLS------------------------ 12
Boykin ---------------------10
Ekmark 9.7---------------- 8
Chong 19.1 ----------------14
--------------------------200 mins
It might be easier if you simply consider the minutes the seniors got.
KML 28.7
Kiah 18.3
That's 47 minutes to go to Butler, KLS, Collier, and Boykin, plus any net addition in playing time for the returning players. I think your estimate is close, but I don't see Butler getting starter's minutes. The 5th spot will rotate between going big with Butler at the 5, and going small with KLS or Williams at the 3.
2015 Mins. played ---2016 guess
Stewart 28.3 --------------27 mins
Tuck 25.6 -----------------25
Nurse 25.1 ----------------24
Jefferson 28.8 ------------27
Butler ---------------------18
Williams 15.6------------- 18
KLS------------------------ 17
Collier ---------------------12
Boykin ---------------------10
Ekmark 9.7---------------- 8
Chong 19.1 ----------------14
--------------------------200 mins
In big games, by the end of the year, you can forget about PT for the bottom 4. I would expect something closer to
2015 Mins. played ---2016 guess
Stewart 28.3 --------------36 mins
Tuck 25.6 -----------------36
Nurse 25.1 ----------------34
Jefferson 28.8 ------------38
Butler ---------------------18
Williams 15.6------------- 16
KLS------------------------ 20
--------------------------200 mins
If one of those bottom 3 really steps up, they could get closer to 25-28 mpg.