I don't have the foggiest idea of how to judge high school talent. Obviously some folks do, because so many of the five stars end up being college stars as well. But I really wonder if it's possible to disaggregate talent more finely from a broad group of (say) the best 3-5 at any position nationally. After all: 1. high school coaching and high school competition will vary widely; 2. kids that age (and here we're talking about kids who've just started 11th grade, meaning we're judging them on how they played as sophomores) have so much going on mentally and physically. (I do agree that every couple of years, a kid comes along who is hors categorie (as they say in the Tour de France)--an entirely "can't miss" superstar.)
I have to believe (because I want to believe!) that UConn could take pretty much any of the top 3-5 players at any position, and, if the kid is coachable and committed, turn her into the top 1-3 at her position. Though maybe I've drunk too much of the Kool-Aid...