Official UCONN vs Nova prediction thread | Page 2 | The Boneyard

Official UCONN vs Nova prediction thread

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Mojo demands we pick UConn to win, so 24-21.
 
I can't believe we've fallen as far as we have. The road back to redemption has to start Thursday.
We start one senior on the offensive side of the ball. Defense has to keep it close....

My head tells me Nova but my heart tells ME something else and I am betting
with my heart in this one....Doggies 20 - Nova 17 in OT.
 
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31 - 13 Nova wins big.

I don't want it, but logic dictates this after last season.
 
Noeynox has it right 27-14. Huskies get a score om special teams and one on defense.
 
24-6 UConn wins...Nova is a good FCS team, no doubt about it. But UConn has far too much talent and I think the defense comes up BIG!
 
Ball control - lots of running by RJ, BS, AN and DeLo.

23-18 Dawgs
 
Every year there is talk about the talent on UConn. Unfortunately, the so called talent gap hasn't produced a rash of victories.

Don't forget......a good number of our recruits choose UConn over FCS offers. So the talent gap isn't extreme.

Tough game.......someone will squeak out a low scoring win. A real nail biter.

Too close for me to offer a guess as to who that someone will be.
 
It's time foe the Huskies to put on their big boy pants & act like an FBS team playing an FCS visitor. Give no quarter. Play like a team that's tired of practicing against itself & ready to give a thrashing to those in white jerseys. Big Dogs 28-Cats 10.
 
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UCONN 41
Nova 13
Shirreffs 16-25 215 yds passing 2 TDs O TO's 52 yds rushing 1 TD
Ron Johnson 114 yds rushing 1 TD (Newsome, Marriner & Max for another 56 yds)
Thomas 6 catches 85 yds 1 TD
Bloom 4 catches 55 yds 1 TD
Lemelle 162 yds on 7 Punt Returns 1 TD
Newsome 4 Kickoff Returns for 123 yds
Luuuuuuke 2.5 sacks
Adams 1 INT
Joseph 1 INT
 
Defense is the strong point of both teams so I see another USF or Tulane type outcome. UConn- 16, Nova- 13
 
I'm taking Nova 24-20. I gotta bad feeling about this one (which is good for UConn because I had a really good feeling going into the Towson and BYU openers the last 2 seasons).
 
Based on last year we should be about a 2 point favorite at home. Based on our personnel we should be about a 10 point favorite. This year ain't last year and the offense should be better if inconsistent to start, but the defense will cause havoc.

Energy bucket begins to refill.

31-21 UConn
 
Uconn will run, run and run some more. They will control clock and not put the ball in the air much more than 5-8 times as the focus will be ball security and zero turnovers. 3rd down and >5 yards, don't expect a pass. They will run for it and play field position. 2nd and short, you will see some slants or quick WR screens. Not a high probability of stretching the field at all. BD has likely decided that Shireffs needs to hit someone quick or throw it away. Manage the game, hand off cleanly. No turnovers. TOP will be at least 40-20 for Uconn. But they will bog down repeatedly on Nova's side of the field as Nova will stack the box and will run some blitzes that Uconn has not prepared for or is not yet ready for. D is one of their strengths and OL is one of Uconn's weaknesses. Nova, on their limited possessions will be more open to big plays based on their biggest strength (QB) and will hit just enough to be in the game the entire 60 minutes.

You are looking at maybe 10-14 points max on either side so the score is too close to call.
 
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Question: is Nova still favored in Vegas? If so, is the line based on anything OTHER than last seasons records? If yes, do the guys that set the line have inside info? If they do, from where and from who?
If the line is based on last season, UCONN has a decent shot at a win.
 
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Storrsbred said:
Question: is Nova still favored in Vegas? If so, is the line based on anything OTHER than last seasons records? If yes, do the guys that set the line have inside info? If they do, from where and from who?
If the line is based on last season, UCONN has a decent shot at a win.
Expand ...
Lines are based on attracting almost equal money on both sides of the bet. If a lot of money is being wagered on one side, the line moves to attract more money to the other side. Bettors generally have nothing to go on other than last year which is why week 1 is a great week to play underdogs based on what you might know about substantial changes from the prior year, if you are into that sort of thing. There are others on this board that can explain how lines work in much more detail than me.
 
Sheriffs scrambles to a victory - 24-10. Uconn has many drives which sputter out. No Uconn turnovers. Nova unable to do much against this healthy and capable D.

The question at the end of the game will be - does Ucon look better because of Balis or Diaco or Verducci?
 
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My initial thought was 17-14 UCONN, however I am not sure our offense is capable of scoring two touchdowns...yet. This is Sheriffs first game in a long time, nerves and excitement will get the best of him. I think the offense will finish one drive and score a TD, we will stall out several other times and settle for FGs. Our Defense will be stout but will slip on a couple plays and give up a big play for a TD.

Final score 16-10 or 16-14 UCONN wins. It is a good building block for the rest of the season. Offense will start to improve week over week and the D will go from level 200 to level 200+... A good first step is to be 1-0 after week one. We can improve from there. (My glass is half full)
 
a top 3 fcs team is every bit going to be like a 30-40 ranked fbs team. Can we beat a number thirty. Think Cincinnati or Nebraska ish. those teams are top 40 and Villanova can hang with all those teams. the bright side is when we win we know the future will be brighter
 
Myers has a huge day and Nova's QB is uncomfortable all night throws 4 ints two to Andrew Adams.

Offense manages the game but looks improved.

Uconn 38-17/
 
Both teams have holes on the OL but theirs are bigger and we have the D to take advantage. Almost all the matchups favor us except QB and maybe WR but our D negates that in large measure. Just like the matchups including specials. (31-21)
 
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