Nova Game

[bendm]

I was going to say it’s because they can’t defend and then went to look up their KP and they are 50 better than us on KP defense .

nova is the team that cant defend

Top 10 in both KP ORtg and DRtg:
1. Duke (ORtg 9/ DRtg 1)
4. ISU (ORtg 6 / DRtg 8)

Top 25 in both:
2. Auburn (ORtg 1 / DRtg 19)
3. Houston (ORtg 16 / DRtg 2)
5. Florida (ORtg 3 / DRtg 16)
7. Gonzaga (ORtg 7 / DRtg 21)
8. Kansas (ORtg 23 / DRtg 5)
10. Michigan (ORtg 10 / DRtg 17)
11. Marquette (ORtg 18 / DRtg 14)
12. Illinois (ORtg 19 / DRtg 13)
13. Arizona (ORtg 15 / DRtg 22)
15. Miss St (ORtg 17 / DRtg 25)

so 12 of the top 25 teams are elite on both sides of the ball. a lot of good well-rounded teams this year.

23. UConn (ORtg 2 / DRtg 131)
41. Nova (Ortg 5/ DRtg 180)

we match up well with Nova. elite offenses and average defenses but we're a bit better on both sides of the ball.

 

[Hurleyman216]

I don't have a great feeling about tonight....we need to jump on them early and push the lead to 12-15 by halftime or we may just be in for a really long night. We're bound to drop a game our two without McNeeley and this is very likely one of them. Hopefully we can pull one out.

 

[JustbrewitMan]

nova is the team that cant defend

Top 10 in both KP ORtg and DRtg:
1. Duke (ORtg 9/ DRtg 1)
4. ISU (ORtg 6 / DRtg 8)

Top 25 in both:
2. Auburn (ORtg 1 / DRtg 19)
3. Houston (ORtg 16 / DRtg 2)
5. Florida (ORtg 3 / DRtg 16)
7. Gonzaga (ORtg 7 / DRtg 21)
8. Kansas (ORtg 23 / DRtg 5)
10. Michigan (ORtg 10 / DRtg 17)
11. Marquette (ORtg 18 / DRtg 14)
12. Illinois (ORtg 19 / DRtg 13)
13. Arizona (ORtg 15 / DRtg 22)
15. Miss St (ORtg 17 / DRtg 25)

so 12 of the top 25 teams are elite on both sides of the ball. a lot of good well-rounded teams this year.

23. UConn (ORtg 2 / DRtg 131)
41. Nova (Ortg 5/ DRtg 180)

Just a reminder about what it takes to move up and down the ladder for KenPom DRtg:

The DRtg number is just points allowed per 100 possessions. We're at 104.1 currently.

Note that each game we play, there are about 65-70 defensive possessions.

Tighten up the D to make just 2 more stops per game than what we're currently doing and that shaves roughly 5 off our current number.

99.1 pts/100 possessions represents a KP Top 50 defense!

I think that's doable!


Note: Yes, I know there are "magic" KP adjustments for strength of opponent, pace of play. etc. But they aren't going to make the key point above any different. Our raw DRtg is 102.

 

[HooperScooper]

If you had a nice $750K home near the Villanova campus would you want a bar like that in the neighborhood?

The median home price in that area is about $1.4 million so it might be almost doubly hard to have a bar like that around there.

 

[HooperScooper]

We are officially dogs tonight. Villanova has moved to -1.5 favorites

Bettors must have been reading the Boneyard the last 24 hours.

 

[IndyLives]

We've dominated Villanova both recently and lifetime head to head. We've lost only 1 Big East game in over a year. We are 3 point favorites, and Danny never loses close games. We are invincible!

 

[UCFan1513]

I just don’t understand how we are favorites in this away game with McNeeley out and Nova playing so well.

Dan Hurley vs. Kyle Neptune

 

[RuffRuff]

I don't have a great feeling about tonight....we need to jump on them early and push the lead to 12-15 by halftime or we may just be in for a really long night. We're bound to drop a game our two without McNeeley and this is very likely one of them. Hopefully we can pull one out.

Things to consider - they're coming off a 44 point beat down of DePaul at home. We are coming off a scare to a bad team at home. We're coming off our first adjustment game without McNeeley, so have the chance to marinate on that and make adjustments in practice. We have a much better coach, and with oppositional game tape halfway through the season, have the advantage at exploiting matchups. Students are out, so may be quiet.

Hassan should frustrate Brickus.
6'5" Poplar has rebounded the ball well averaging around 7 boards a game. He'll be a tough matchup given how poor we defend at the 2/3. Need to keep him off the glass.
Need to disrupt Dixon, keep him under 20, inside the 3 pt line. I'm actually wondering if Samson and his agility/length might be the best play, and to let AK guard their 5 when he's in. The guy really hasn't had an off night all year to this point, maybe he's due. His really big nights are a product of him taking more shots, as he shoots well in higher or lower volume. I would say play deny, but we don't have the players to do that, so disrupt it is. His numbers are truly amazing.

Huskies find a way - win by 5.

 

[Scot-e]

Things to consider - they're coming off a 44 point beat down of DePaul at home. We are coming off a scare to a bad team at home. We're coming off our first adjustment game without McNeeley, so have the chance to marinate on that and make adjustments in practice. We have a much better coach, and with oppositional game tape halfway through the season, have the advantage at exploiting matchups. Students are out, so may be quiet.

Hassan should frustrate Brickus.
6'5" Poplar has rebounded the ball well averaging around 7 boards a game. He'll be a tough matchup given how poor we defend at the 2/3. Need to keep him off the glass.
Need to disrupt Dixon, keep him under 20, inside the 3 pt line. I'm actually wondering if Samson and his agility/length might be the best play, and to let AK guard their 5 when he's in. The guy really hasn't had an off night all year to this point, maybe he's due. His really big nights are a product of him taking more shots, as he shoots well in higher or lower volume. I would say play deny, but we don't have the players to do that, so disrupt it is. His numbers are truly amazing.

Huskies find a way - win by 5.

DOOMED!!!