- Joined
- Dec 2, 2011
- Messages
- 195
- Reaction Score
- 208
Fair enough. My use of "idiotic" may have been a little extreme considering we are talking just about a college sport, which could be said to be just another form of entertainment and not something of any consequence. But I just have a hard time rationalizing Duke as a #3 which leads me to question the though process of anyone who does.Now let me try again.
I have no problem with your reasons for thinking Stanford should be ranked higher, not once out of the multiple times you presented them. It's simply not "idiotic" to have a difference in that opinion. Sagarin and other measurements are objective. You could also come up with an objective measure of talent gained and lost and devise a neat little algorithm to use this objective data to adjust poll position based on tournament performance last year by these teams. I'm quite sure that objective exercise would favor Duke, and it's purely a subjective exercise for you to say Sagarin, SOS or some other objective measurement should be superior to that.
However, objectivity is not the end all of empirical evidence, validity and reliability are, and those are what work in your favor. Is being objective about talent lost and gained or using something like Sagarin valid when coaching and so many other variables which escape objective measurement need to be considered? Your position would imply not and I actually agree with that. It's still not idiotic to think otherwise from you and the main reason why, ironically, is because objective criteria can be used that supports Duke at #3.
And I can't quantify what the loss of talent or coaching staff would affect the next year's team performance except in extreme cases, such as a coach leaves and players follow gutting a team's core. I think we could all agree that something like that would be bad. But who to say that 2nd year player with 10 minutes a game will or will not blossom now that they are out of the shade of some senior? How do you foretell the improvement of skills that a player took on themselves over the summer? For me I have to wait and so and the most valid, reliable and empirical evidence for me is a school's record against good quality teams.
Anyways I've always had a feeling that with the AP poll, that there's a lot of cribbing from the RPI, power rankings and Sagarin's with just position boosts for local teams depending where the reporter is located. None of them have the time to watch all of the games played by the top 25 teams every week so when in doubt, cheat off your neighbor.