I'll go on record now and say Syracuse has no chance of beating Virginia. To get here, Syracuse beat:
Dayton - 61st KenPom
Midd. Tenn - 114th
Gonzaga - 17th
Syracuse is a good team playing their best basketball at the right time. But Virginia is a whole other animal.
We beat a 10, a 2, a 3 and a 4 to get to the Florida game and had one of the best players in the country. Please don't ever compare that Cuse team in anyway, shape or form to the 2014 UConn team.
Virginia is clearly better and will roll up this fraud of a team and smoke the bejeezus out of them.
I feel bad saying Virginia will only beat them by 10. They will beat them by 13-18 and in 3 hours I'm convinced I will declare they beat them by 22
Viriginia is not pedestrian, they are one of the best teams in the country.You have too much faith in a pedestrian Virginia team that hasn't been there before.
And that Florida team was much better than this Virginia team.
I'd disagree. Florida played in a vastly inferior conference and had far better luck in close games. This Virginia team is good enough to win the whole thing.
Florida was 36-2 before losing to us for the second time, Virginia is 26-7. You are right that the ACC is better than the SEC was that year but the far better luck in close games is laughable, you create your own luck and winning close games is the sign of a great team. I disagree that Virginia can win the whole thing, I think Carolina and Kansas would have little trouble with them.I'd disagree. Florida played in a vastly inferior conference and had far better luck in close games. This Virginia team is good enough to win the whole thing.
I will compromise and take the "much" out of my statement, which was overstating my case. They aren't much better - but only two teams since UNLV in 1991 have made the Final Four with a 30-game win streak and Florida was one of them. The other was Duke in 1999. Those two teams feel like they have something else in common, but I can't put my finger on it.
Virginia has lost to four teams that didn't even qualify for the NCAA Tournament (GW, VT, GT, FSU). Florida lost three games total, and all three were all to teams that were in the Final Four (Wisky and us twice). This Virginia team is good enough to win the whole thing, but Florida obviously was too.
Virginia has certainly had their share of clunkers mixed in there. I will grant you that the 2014 Florida team gets the nod in consistency (in addition to the four losses you reference, they needed a miracle to pull one out against 154th ranked Wake Forest). Every team has a couple what games over the course of a full season, but after enough of them it's fair to question how great a team like that really is.
I would argue, though, that Virginia makes up for it with the quality of their wins. Without even counting the tournament, they went 8-3 against the top 25 and 6-2 against the top 12. And their three losses were by a combined eight points (one of which would have been a win w/o an uncalled travel on the last possession of the game).
Perhaps my memory of the 2014 team is tainted by how quickly they toppled over when we hit them in the mouth in Dallas. Maybe that's not a fair way to remember a team that was as good as they were. I'd be pretty shocked, though, if Virginia loses to Syracuse tomorrow, and while I think UNC is better, I think the gap is closer than most people think.