If UConn is in the 6-10 range there is a very good chance they could face a team like UNC, MSU, or Duke. Granted all three of these versions are not your typical UNC, Duke or MSU but at the same time, not a team I want to see in the first round, just the same. IF UConn were a 6, I would not want to see 11 MSU below them, or if they are a 9, vs. 8 UNC, or a 7/10 matchup with Duke....
Even if Uconn beats Gtown and wins the BET and gets a 5, they might not avoid MSU. Could you imagine MSU finishing the season 2-2, 1-1 vs Michigan and 1-1 in the B10T or even 0-2 vs Michigan and 2-1 in the B10T, that could end up being a nightmare 5-12 matchup for UConn IMO, or at least the last team I want to see in a 5-12 matchup. Tom works those refs and gets the calls and I'd be scared to lose a heartbreaker in the final seconds vs #12 MSU in that scenario. I'll take any other fringe team in a heartbeat rather than MSU.
Anyway, I am overthinking and looking into "what-ifs" way too much and will just be glad UConn has basically punched their ticket, or are very very close to doing so.
We’re dancing! So now it’s time to predict our seed. Here’s what I’ve got (thanks USC!):
0 Additional Wins: 10 seed.
1 Additional Win: 7 seed
2 Additional Wins: 6 seed.
3-4 Additional Wins: 5 seed.
A lot of pundits will project us as an 8 or a 9 tomorrow. Ultimately, I can’t see the Committee putting us on the 8/9 line given the Bouknight injury and our performance since his return. We will get pushed one way or the other. If we win on Saturday, I think we’re locked in as at least a 7.
Where does everyone think we wind up?
I am not so sure 1 win vs Gtown, followed by a loss in the first game of the BET (or worse, losing to GTown and 1-1 in the BET) would result in an increase in 3 seeds, in fact in the second case I think that would be 9-11 range. More than likely UConn is a 10 seed as it stands, and would get to a 9 seed, maybe, by finishing 1-1.
The big jump will be if they beat Gtown and go 1-1 in the BET that could and should lead to a 7 seed. I think if UConn runs the table and wins the BET you will see another big jump in seeds and they could get a 4 seed depending on other things.