Memphis has had a schizo week and should tread water around #21. We deserve to move up to #20 or so, but might end up #22-23. Remember that the rankings are based on averages and not a single, omnipotent pollster striving for self-consistency.
Assuming we take care of business on Wednesday, Saturday @ Louisville will be a great bellwether of our March chances. A win against Ville, and we will have demonstrated we belong among the top 15, a 4-5 seed, and talked about as a legitimate contender. A loss against Ville, and we remain deep in the chase pack, no better than a 6 seed and a possible "sleeper" that nobody talks about.
As much as we like playing the underdog card, we're in a precarious position as far as our national reputation and in order to remain among the blue bloods we need to be on the minds of the talking heads more often than not.