It is always a challenge to rate recruiting classes.
Duke: 58, 65, 81
Florida State: 27, 37, a 3-star
Is Florida State's class really worse than Duke's?
For
@Fightin Choke ,
@vowelguy ,
@HuskyNan ,
@CocoHusky,
@Dillon77 , and others with whom I communicate on this forum and in private messages, the following post will be repetitive. But for others, I will share it again.
ESPN/Hoopgurlz rankings are done by Dan Olson, of Collegiate Girls Basketball Report (CGBR). Olson updates the CGBR rankings almost weekly, based on evaluations from tournaments he attends and players he sees. As an example, I tracked rankings for Duke commits Jaida Patrick and Jennifer Ezeh on CGBR over the summer, and their respective rankings changed at least five different times from June through September.
For the last 5 years, ESPN has published Olson's rankings 2-4 times per year (depending on the year). So the ESPN/Hoopgurlz player and class rankings are
snapshot rankings, at different points in time (specifically, the date(s) of publication). As you know, CGBR is a subscription service with specific evaluations of several hundred players per class, whose rankings vary throughout the years.
In other words, the ESPN/Hoopgurlz rankings are based on what Dan Olson's rankings were, but they do not necessarily reflect current Dan Olson rankings for Collegiate Girls Basketball Report (CGBR).
Here are the current (as of November 14, 2018) Collegiate Girls Basketball Report (CGBR) rankings for the Duke and FSU commitments:
- #26 - River Baldwin (Florida State)
- #36 - Sammie Puisis (Florida State)
- #57 - Jaida Patrick (Duke)
- #64 - Azana Baines (Duke)
- #80 - Jennifer Ezeh (Duke)
- #137 - London Clarkson (Florida State)
You will note that the rankings for two FSU and all three Duke commitments have gone up since ESPN/Hoopgurlz published the snapshot rankings from Dan Olson. Also, I have included the ranking for London Clarkson, whom ESPN/Hoopgurlz lists as a "three star" player.
Finally, Dan Olson does not use the star system (five stars, four stars, etc.) on the Collegiate Girls Basketball Report (CGBR) website. He uses a rating system, where player ratings are based on a numeric value scale from 14-30 (with 30 being the maximum rating). Player ratings are continually updated during the players' development. The explanation of CGBR ratings is as follows:
- 26-30: High major player/junior college transfer making an impact for “Top 25” program
- 21-25: High major to mid-major player/junior college transfer making an impact for a “Top 50” program
- 17-20: Mid-major player/junior college transfer making impact in a “Top 150” program
- 16: Marginal mid-major to low-major/junior college transfer making impact in a “Top 300” program
- 15: Contributor to low-major/NCAA-II, NCAA-III, NAIA program
The ratings and number of players at each rating level vary by class. For example, for the HS Class of 2018, there were 49 players who had a rating of at least 21 with one player at 28, five players at 27, and one player at 26. For the HS Class of 2019, there were only 40 players with a rating of at least 21 and zero players at 28, but there were 12 players between 26 and 27 in the ratings.
In other words, per Collegiate Girls Basketball Report (CGBR), the Class of 2018 was a little deeper in terms of mid-major to high-major players than 2019, but in terms of elite high major players, the Class of 2019 is significantly deeper.
I hope this information is helpful to everyone!