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Bill James (who invented Pythagorean Expectation which is a bedrock of KenPom (he has since adjusted it) and women’s KenPom) has a famous ”Is the Game Safe” heurestic &1 that can be used to demarcate between “competitive minutes” and “garbage time”. Of course, one doesn’t need the heuristic if the opponent has emptied out its bench.
Women’s KenPom removes garbage time.
Aubrey is a rotation player (someone who Geno trusts in competitive minutes of games) in the South Carolina finals game, even though she only subbed for Sarah at the end of the third quarter to a few minutes after the 4th, to give Sarah a breather and keep pressure at SC with a “bridge rotation” version of small ball.
And yes, max of 10/11 rotation, is a WAG at this point.
&1 The heuristic is particularly applicable to teams that can make nearly impossible runs. For certain opponents, Geno may choose to play, say Gandy, earlier than what the heuristic says.
Pythagorean Expectation? Named that because formula is similar to Pythagorean Theorem? Because it has exponents? What a stretch! Haven't seen such a classic example of "baffle them with BS" in a long time.