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Louisville Postgame Thread

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Bill James (who invented Pythagorean Expectation which is a bedrock of KenPom (he has since adjusted it) and women’s KenPom) has a famous ”Is the Game Safe” heurestic &1 that can be used to demarcate between “competitive minutes” and “garbage time”. Of course, one doesn’t need the heuristic if the opponent has emptied out its bench.

Women’s KenPom removes garbage time.

Aubrey is a rotation player (someone who Geno trusts in competitive minutes of games) in the South Carolina finals game, even though she only subbed for Sarah at the end of the third quarter to a few minutes after the 4th, to give Sarah a breather and keep pressure at SC with a “bridge rotation” version of small ball.

And yes, max of 10/11 rotation, is a WAG at this point.

&1 The heuristic is particularly applicable to teams that can make nearly impossible runs. For certain opponents, Geno may choose to play, say Gandy, earlier than what the heuristic says.

Pythagorean Expectation? Named that because formula is similar to Pythagorean Theorem? Because it has exponents? What a stretch! Haven't seen such a classic example of "baffle them with BS" in a long time.
 
Pythagorean Expectation? Named that because formula is similar to Pythagorean Theorem? Because it has exponents? What a stretch! Haven't seen such a classic example of "baffle them with BS" in a long time.
Pythagorean theorem: a2+b2=c2

Pythagorean expectation: win ratio =
runs scored2 divided by (runs scored2 + runs allowed2)
 
Pythagorean theorem: a2+b2=c2

Pythagorean expectation: win ratio =
runs scored2 divided by (runs scored2 + runs allowed2)
Certain notable basketball analytics persons have curve-hit different exponents.

Women’s KenPom uses an exponent of 11.5.

Sorry for the derailment of the thread.

IMG_1964.jpeg
 
For some reason, after all the hype, all the anticipation, watching this game didn't really motivate me to get up and cheer, actually the opposite. Although I was thrilled with the beginning, it just didn't feel right. One thing was the constant talking, not announcing when relief players entered the game, even not acknowledging who was taking a shot at some points. I figured out what the problem really was, and that was the crowd. There was very little cheering for either team, and the crowd is usually what gets the team and the TV fans jumping and cheering back in the living room. I watched it again last night and got the same feeling. Now Sunday, that's a different animal with a sold out Gampel crowd welcoming 5 new players, and of course the defending national championship players watching the new banner being raised. I can't wait for this game; it will be entirely different experience.
 
For some reason, after all the hype, all the anticipation, watching this game didn't really motivate me to get up and cheer, actually the opposite. Although I was thrilled with the beginning, it just didn't feel right. One thing was the constant talking, not announcing when relief players entered the game, even not acknowledging who was taking a shot at some points. I figured out what the problem really was, and that was the crowd. There was very little cheering for either team, and the crowd is usually what gets the team and the TV fans jumping and cheering back in the living room. I watched it again last night and got the same feeling. Now Sunday, that's a different animal with a sold out Gampel crowd welcoming 5 new players, and of course the defending national championship players watching the new banner being raised. I can't wait for this game; it will be entirely different experience.
What crowd? Alumni Hall seats approximately 5,700 fans and the stated attendance was around 3,600, although there didn’t appear to be that many fans at the game. I was a little disappointed in the crowd size. While I understand that the late game shift from Germany to Annapolis created some logistical challenges, I think that if the parties involved immediately started selling tickets, rather than waiting a week or so to get their act together, they might have filled the arena with a much more energetic and enthusiastic crowd.

One additional comment on small arenas. Seton Hall’s Walsh Arena is an old bandbox of a gym on campus, and it holds a paltry 1316 fans. But whenever the UConn women play there the arena is packed and very loud.
 
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What crowd? Alumni Hall seats approximately 5,700 fans and the stated attendance was around 3,600, although there didn’t appear to be that many fans at the game. I was a little disappointed in the crowd size. While I understand that the late game shift from Germany to Annapolis created some logistical challenges, I think that if the parties involved immediately started selling tickets, rather than waiting a week or so to get their act together, they might have filled the arena with a much more energetic and enthusiastic crowd.

One additional comment on small arenas. Seton Hall’s Walsh Arena is an old bandbox of a gym on campus, and it holds a paltry 1316 fans. But whenever the UConn women play there the arena is packed and very loud.
All due respect to all concerned, it was the lower level or military persons that were underrepresented. The “DMV” has many military installations, not to mention veterans. You would think there could have been necessary communication within the military. I also expected to see in attendance more midshipmen. You would think, if anyone can turn on a dime, it would be our armed forces.
This was a chance to see a reallly good basketball matchup in addition to a chance to honor the Armed Forces.
I actually got yelled at by another fan for talking during the game.(yes, I can talk too much, but come on now, was this a golf tournament or a tennis match?)
I was disappointed too. Hey- I saw Azzi’s parents outside. Awesome!
 
.-.
All due respect to all concerned, it was the lower level or military persons that were underrepresented. The “DMV” has many military installations, not to mention veterans. You would think there could have been necessary communication within the military. I also expected to see in attendance more midshipmen. You would think, if anyone can turn on a dime, it would be our armed forces.
This was a chance to see a reallly good basketball matchup in addition to a chance to honor the Armed Forces.
I actually got yelled at by another fan for talking during the game.(yes, I can talk too much, but come on now, was this a golf tournament or a tennis match?)
I was disappointed too. Hey- I saw Azzi’s parents outside. Awesome!
The start time, right around dinner time for the Midshipmen, probably didn’t help. I just think there were a lot more UConn fans in the DMV who would have jumped at the opportunity to buy tickets to the game if they had a little more time to react. You’ll remember that for a week+ there was speculation as to whether or not tickets would go on sale to the general public, or military personnel only would be allowed to attend.

The one thing we do know is that the entire Navy WBB team was in attendance. They have posted a picture on social media after the game, together with Paige.

In addition, I find it unbelievable that a fan yelled at you for talking during a game. Did he think he was at a chess match?
 
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What crowd? Alumni Hall seats approximately 5,700 fans and the stated attendance was around 3,600, although there didn’t appear to be that many fans at the game. I was a little disappointed in the crowd size. While I understand that the late game shift from Germany to Annapolis created some logistical challenges, I think that if the parties involved immediately started selling tickets, rather than waiting a week or so to get their act together, they might have filled the arena with a much more energetic and enthusiastic crowd.

One additional comment on small arenas. Seton Hall’s Walsh Arena is an old bandbox of a gym on campus, and it holds a paltry 1316 fans. But whenever the UConn women play there the arena is packed and very loud.
Walsh is also the best arena i can imagine to see/enjoy a UCONN game away from home.
 
Was the internet even invented 30 years ago? 🤣

Sarcasm...I know it was because I got a job in 1993 working on an internet based app.
Was it an AOL chat platform at the start?
 
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