Louisville is relying heavily -- of course -- on Asia Durr (20.9 ppg) and, increasingly, Arica Carter (10+ ppg) for outside shooting so the Irish's "2" and outside parts of the "3" zone can't give up open shots. Contest them. Heck, rotate in Abby Prohaska and Dani Patterson in to have fresh legs defending for a spell.
And once the shots are up, bodies on bodies. Rebound the ball and then let it loose on the break. The Irish love to run and are becoming better and more efficient at it. Ogunbowale had 12 or 13 assists at Georgia Tech, most of them off the break. In the beginning of the season, Arike was looking for her shot all the time. With her running (and room-) mate Mabrey rounding into form, she must be more trusting to pass and the spheroid is flying up the court.
For this Irish fan, nothing is more fun than to see Jess Shepard, Mik Vaughn or Bri Turner dropping in an uncontested layup, which often means they got the rebound, then ran the floor hard to get the pass back.
Think those two aspects are key. The Irish can take a chance on the perimeter because of Turner's presence inside the zone (she was moved inside after the UConn game) and addition through subtraction on Louisville's part: Miyisha Hines Allen isn't there for Cardinals. She was their key inside player. While I like Sam Fuerhring, she's more of a glue player (in the mode of a Kat Westbeld), not a take-charge one.
Allen could score, get offensive rebounds and would mix it up often frustrating Turner. No one has taken her place at the level she played. (Good for the Irish.)
As such, I'm pretty optimistic (for me) about this game.