Looking like rescheduled Providence game won't happen | Page 11 | The Boneyard

Looking like rescheduled Providence game won't happen

August_West

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Pre tournament in Kenpom Baylor was 4 last year, UVA was 1 in 2019, Nova was 2 in 2018, UNC was 3 in 2017.............

Or you can ignore the analytics because of the random exceptions.


I do ignore the analytics. They are fun to look at and a measurement tool. But nothing more. Otherwise youd have a lot of pre tournament KenPom #1's winning the title instead of UVA being a total abberation.
 

August_West

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You want to see how messed up analytics are, look at Syracuses deep runs in the last 7 years. analytics didnt even have them in tournaments.
 
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I do ignore the analytics. They are fun to look at and a measurement tool. But nothing more. Otherwise youd have a lot of pre tournament KenPom #1's winning the title instead of UVA being a total abberation.
ha ok
 
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Which team do you want: Huskies who blow out Q4 opponents but have so far struggled with Q1 Big East teams or Friars who blow out no one, to include Q4, but simply win? Which is the better team for March?
I hope both do well in March for the BE but I really want Uconn to do extremely well. A F4 would be nice
 
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It'll be interesting to see whether the Committee leans on the MOV and points-per-possession type of metrics or on a more RPI-like consideration of results and strength of schedule.

Palm is clearly going with the latter, with Providence a #2 and us a #7 (with Wisconsin in Milwaukee, yikes). Lunardi is more balanced and has us a #6.
 
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It'll be interesting to see whether the Committee leans on the MOV and points-per-possession type of metrics or on a more RPI-like consideration of results and strength of schedule.

Palm is clearly going with the latter, with Providence a #2 and us a #7 (with Wisconsin in Milwaukee, yikes). Lunardi is more balanced and has us a #6.
The NET was designed to essentially be a blend of both. It won't be as predictive as stuff like KenPom or as perfect a resume tool as Strength of Record or Wins Above Bubble, but it does a good enough job of both in one.
 
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Which team do you want: Huskies who blow out Q4 opponents but have so far struggled with Q1 Big East teams or Friars who blow out no one, to include Q4, but simply win? Which is the better team for March?
There are always exceptions, but the latter has historically been prone to underachieve in the tournament. The single most predictive metric is overall scheduled-adjusted per possession margin of victory.
 
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There are always exceptions, but the latter has historically been prone to underachieve in the tournament. The single most predictive metric is overall scheduled-adjusted per possession margin of victory.
Nerd Computing GIF by Verohallinto
;-)
 

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