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Nothing new here. Just a summary of possibilities. What's interesting is that they all yield the same positive result.
1. If UConn wins all future home games, loses all future road games.
Result: They finish regular season 18-13. (9-9 in conference)
2. If UConn wins all games in which they currently have the higher KenPom rating, loses all games in which they currently have the lower KenPom rating.
Result: They finish regular season 18-13. (9-9 in conference)
3. Repeat of #2, allowing 4 points for home court.
Result: UConn finishes regular season 18-13. (9-9 in conference)
These results are interesting on several scores. First, they yield the same W-L records although the scenarios involve beating different teams and losing to different teams. Second, they are all, to a large extent, projections of what has happened so far. To that extent, they establish not a best case scenario but a baseline of sorts, confirmed by three different extrapolations. With any improvement at all, 19 or 20 wins comes into the picture. I offer it as a bit of positive input for those still open to positive input (and not too rigorous in their standard of mathematical proof).
1. If UConn wins all future home games, loses all future road games.
Result: They finish regular season 18-13. (9-9 in conference)
2. If UConn wins all games in which they currently have the higher KenPom rating, loses all games in which they currently have the lower KenPom rating.
Result: They finish regular season 18-13. (9-9 in conference)
3. Repeat of #2, allowing 4 points for home court.
Result: UConn finishes regular season 18-13. (9-9 in conference)
These results are interesting on several scores. First, they yield the same W-L records although the scenarios involve beating different teams and losing to different teams. Second, they are all, to a large extent, projections of what has happened so far. To that extent, they establish not a best case scenario but a baseline of sorts, confirmed by three different extrapolations. With any improvement at all, 19 or 20 wins comes into the picture. I offer it as a bit of positive input for those still open to positive input (and not too rigorous in their standard of mathematical proof).
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